Zimbabwe Revised Nationally Determined Contribution

Zimbabwe has increased its climate ambition by raising its 2030 emission reduction target from 33% to 40% per capita compared to a business-as-usual scenario. Unlike its first NDC, which focused only on energy, the revised version is economy-wide, covering Energy, Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU), Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU), and Waste. The document emphasizes that Zimbabwe is highly vulnerable to climate change, with 70% of its population reliant on rainfed agriculture, and identifies four priority adaptation areas: climate-smart agriculture, early warning systems, resilient infrastructure, and sustainable water management. Implementation of these goals is conditional on international financial support, with mitigation costs estimated at US$4,834.47 million.

• Zimbabwe has increased its emission reduction target to a 40% reduction in economy-wide GHG emissions per capita compared to the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario by 2030, up from a 33% target in the first NDC.
• The scope of the NDC has expanded from covering only the energy sector to an economy-wide approach including Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU), Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU), and Waste.
• The AFOLU sector is the largest contributor to Zimbabwe's greenhouse gas emissions, accounting for 54% of total emissions in 2017.
• Zimbabwe's total GHG emissions in 2017 were 35.84 MtCO2eq, and they are projected to increase by 110% to 75.4 MtCO2eq by 2030 under a business-as-usual scenario.
• The total investment cost required to meet the mitigation contribution is estimated at approximately US$4,834.47 million, and achievement of the target is conditional on affordable international financial support.
• Zimbabwe identifies four high-level priority adaptation measures: scaling up climate-smart agriculture, enhancing early warning and disaster risk reduction systems, ensuring climate-resilient infrastructure, and promoting sustainable water resources management.
• Climate projections indicate that Zimbabwe's mean annual temperatures will increase by 1 to 1.5°C by 2040, with potential increases exceeding 3°C by 2050 depending on global emissions pathways.
• The country is projected to experience a decrease in average rainfall of approximately 10%, with the Southern and Eastern regions expected to see the most significant declines between 2020 and 2080.
• Zimbabwe is establishing the National Climate Change Fund (NCCF) and a National Climate Finance Facility (CFF) through the Infrastructure Development Bank of Zimbabwe to mobilize public and private resources.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2021). Zimbabwe Revised Nationally Determined Contribution. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5217.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Zimbabwe Revised Nationally Determined Contribution. 2021. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5217.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Zimbabwe Revised Nationally Determined Contribution |date=2021 |url=https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5217.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2021zimbabwe, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Zimbabwe Revised Nationally Determined Contribution}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2021}, url = {https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5217.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }