Climate Change Impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa Region and their Implications for Vulnerable Population Groups

A report by the Stockholm Environment Institute detailing the biophysical impacts of climate change in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, specifically focusing on the agricultural sector, water scarcity, and the resulting socio-economic vulnerabilities.

• The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is identified as a hot spot for increasing aridity, drought, and extreme heat. These biophysical impacts, combined with existing pressures and a lack of resilience in certain countries, create high vulnerabilities across various sectors and social dimensions.
• The agricultural sector in the MENA region is highly vulnerable because 70 percent of it is rain-fed and it serves as the primary employer in many Arab countries. In a 2 °C warming scenario, annual water discharge is projected to decrease by 15–45% (rising to 75% in a 4 °C scenario), and heat extremes are expected to affect approximately one-third of the land area, impacting local food production.
• Climate-driven declines in agricultural productivity are expected to drive migration toward urban areas. This is compounded by a projected population doubling by 2070, which will increase demand for food and water, heighten import dependency, and potentially exacerbate social unrest in politically unstable areas of the region.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2017). Climate Change Impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa Region and their Implications for Vulnerable Population Groups. https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-impacts-in-the-middle-east-and-northern-africa-region-and-their-implications-for-vulnerable-population-groups/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Climate Change Impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa Region and their Implications for Vulnerable Population Groups. 2017. https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-impacts-in-the-middle-east-and-northern-africa-region-and-their-implications-for-vulnerable-population-groups/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Climate Change Impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa Region and their Implications for Vulnerable Population Groups |date=12 April 2017 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-impacts-in-the-middle-east-and-northern-africa-region-and-their-implications-for-vulnerable-population-groups/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2017climate, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Climate Change Impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa Region and their Implications for Vulnerable Population Groups}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2017}, month = apr, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-impacts-in-the-middle-east-and-northern-africa-region-and-their-implications-for-vulnerable-population-groups/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }