Projections of access to cooling in 2030

The report projects that under current trends, 1.22 billion people will be at high risk of lacking cooling access by 2030. While achieving universal electricity access (SDG 7.1.1) alone provides limited relief, combining it with the eradication of extreme poverty (SDG 1.1) could reduce the high-risk population by 36 percent to 783.3 million. The analysis highlights that urban poor populations are growing due to urbanization and the urban heat island effect, while rural poor populations in Africa remain particularly vulnerable. The report emphasizes that income and energy access are critical prerequisites for the adoption of sustainable cooling solutions.

• Under the current trends scenario, 1.22 billion people will be at high risk of lacking access to cooling solutions in 2030, an increase from 1.2 billion in 2022.
• The simultaneous achievement of SDG 7.1.1 (universal electricity access) and SDG 1.1 (extreme poverty eradication) would reduce the number of people at high risk by 36 percent, bringing the total down to 783.3 million.
• Achieving universal electricity access (SDG 7.1.1) without poverty reduction results in only a 6.2 percent reduction in the number of people at high risk compared to current trends.
• In high-impact countries, the urban poor population at risk is projected to grow to 871.9 million by 2030 under current trends, driven by the urban heat island effect (UHIE), loss of heat sinks, and informal housing.
• Africa accounts for 65.4 percent of the rural poor population at risk in high-impact countries under the current trends scenario for 2030.
• The number of people living in slums in high-impact countries is estimated to increase from 808.1 million in 2021 to 928 million in 2030.
• In 22 countries not considered high-impact, the population facing high risk is projected to increase by 40 percent compared to current levels under the current trends scenario, reaching over 43 million people by 2030.

APA

Sustainable Energy for All (2022). Projections of access to cooling in 2030. https://www.seforall.org/chilling-prospects-2022/projections-of-access-to-cooling-in-2030

Chicago

Sustainable Energy for All. Projections of access to cooling in 2030. 2022. https://www.seforall.org/chilling-prospects-2022/projections-of-access-to-cooling-in-2030.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Sustainable Energy for All |title=Projections of access to cooling in 2030 |date=November 2022 |url=https://www.seforall.org/chilling-prospects-2022/projections-of-access-to-cooling-in-2030 |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{sustainableenergyforall2022projections, author = {{Sustainable Energy for All}}, title = {{Projections of access to cooling in 2030}}, institution = {Sustainable Energy for All}, year = {2022}, month = nov, url = {https://www.seforall.org/chilling-prospects-2022/projections-of-access-to-cooling-in-2030}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }