buhaug-de-coning-and-von-uexkull---scientific-evidence-supports-un-security-council-engagement-with-climate-change-prio-policy-brief-07-2023-f5f5ef1e7e46a744.pdf

This policy brief from the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) argues that scientific evidence, specifically from the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), supports the engagement of the UN Security Council (UNSC) with climate change. The authors aim to counter claims by some Council members that there is no clear scientific basis for linking climate change to security concerns, asserting that climate change constitutes a real risk to international peace and security.

• The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) provides evidence that climate change-related hazards act as a contributing factor to violent conflict. This occurs through indirect and sometimes nonlinear pathways that increase human insecurity, political tensions, grievances, and population vulnerabilities.
• There is a reciprocal relationship where violent conflict increases vulnerability to climate change. Populations displaced or resettled due to conflict or disaster are identified as being extremely vulnerable with limited capacity to adapt.
• While the current average effect of climate on conflict is considered modest, it is expected to become a more prominent driver of violent intrastate conflict as global warming levels rise and extreme weather events increase.
• Future risks will become increasingly complex as climatic and non-climatic drivers, such as biodiversity loss and violent conflict, interact. This interaction can lead to compounding risks, cascading impacts across regions, and social tipping points.
• International policy frameworks like the Sustainable Development Goals and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction can positively impact peace and security. However, poorly managed or inequitable adaptation and mitigation responses can exacerbate marginalisation and drive violence.
• The authors identify three reasons for the misinterpretation of climate-conflict research in the UNSC: the indirect and context-dependent nature of climate effects, the fact that climate is often a weaker driver than socioeconomic or political factors on average, and the tendency for high-level IPCC summaries to condense or soften findings compared to the detailed underlying chapters.

APA

Peace Research Institute Oslo (n.d.). buhaug-de-coning-and-von-uexkull---scientific-evidence-supports-un-security-council-engagement-with-climate-change-prio-policy-brief-07-2023-f5f5ef1e7e46a744.pdf. https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/95bf696b-b796-485e-bcdf-08b7be845740/Buhaug de Coning and von Uexkull - Scientific Evidence Supports UN Security Council Engagement with Climate Change PRIO Policy Brief 07-2023.pdf?inline=true

Chicago

Peace Research Institute Oslo. buhaug-de-coning-and-von-uexkull---scientific-evidence-supports-un-security-council-engagement-with-climate-change-prio-policy-brief-07-2023-f5f5ef1e7e46a744.pdf. n.d. https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/95bf696b-b796-485e-bcdf-08b7be845740/Buhaug de Coning and von Uexkull - Scientific Evidence Supports UN Security Council Engagement with Climate Change PRIO Policy Brief 07-2023.pdf?inline=true.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Peace Research Institute Oslo |title=buhaug-de-coning-and-von-uexkull---scientific-evidence-supports-un-security-council-engagement-with-climate-change-prio-policy-brief-07-2023-f5f5ef1e7e46a744.pdf |url=https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/95bf696b-b796-485e-bcdf-08b7be845740/Buhaug de Coning and von Uexkull - Scientific Evidence Supports UN Security Council Engagement with Climate Change PRIO Policy Brief 07-2023.pdf?inline=true |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{peaceresearchinstituteoslondbuhaugdeconingandvonuexkullscientificevidencesupportsunsecuritycouncilengagementwithclimatechangepriopolicybrief072023f5f5ef1e7e46a744pdf, author = {{Peace Research Institute Oslo}}, title = {{buhaug-de-coning-and-von-uexkull---scientific-evidence-supports-un-security-council-engagement-with-climate-change-prio-policy-brief-07-2023-f5f5ef1e7e46a744.pdf}}, institution = {Peace Research Institute Oslo}, url = {https://cdn.cloud.prio.org/files/95bf696b-b796-485e-bcdf-08b7be845740/Buhaug de Coning and von Uexkull - Scientific Evidence Supports UN Security Council Engagement with Climate Change PRIO Policy Brief 07-2023.pdf?inline=true}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }