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The document assesses the threat of violent extremism in South Africa, concluding that while the overall risk of a major attack is low, the country remains vulnerable to 'lone wolf' incidents and the use of its infrastructure as a base for international extremists. It details the history of far-right groups like the AWB and Boeremag, the militant activities of Pagad in the 1990s, and recent concerns regarding South Africans joining ISIS. The brief highlights systemic vulnerabilities such as government corruption and porous borders, while recommending a focus on youth engagement, social cohesion, and improved intelligence capabilities.

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  • The overall threat of a major terrorist attack in South Africa is considered low, partly because the country's non-interventionist foreign policy makes it a less likely target for retaliation compared to states with interventionist policies.
  • South Africa has a long history of far-right extremism rooted in Afrikaner nationalism and Calvinist religion, with groups like the AWB and Boeremag carrying out bombings and plotting a military coup to reinstate white rule.
  • Between 1996 and 2000, the militant arm of Pagad, known as the G-Force, carried out approximately 472 attacks using grenades, shootings, and petrol and pipe bombs.
  • Between 60 and 100 South Africans are estimated to have joined ISIS, with many motivated by a sense of global injustice, a desire to live in a state governed by Shariah law, or romanticised notions of a utopian Islamic state.
  • Government corruption acts as both a motivator for radicalisation by undermining state legitimacy and an enabling factor that facilitates extremist operations, such as the procurement of fraudulent passports.
  • South Africa's established infrastructure and overstretched police service make it an attractive location for extremists to use as a hideout or a base for planning operations while maintaining a low profile.
  • High levels of youth unemployment, inequality, and perceptions of marginalisation create a vulnerability that could be exploited by radical groups to forward their agendas.
  • The South African government has adopted a 'persuasion rather than prosecution' approach, involving community leaders to counter radical narratives and avoiding heavy-handed tactics that might alienate populations.

Cite the original document

APA
Cachalia, R. C., & Schoeman, A. (2017). Violent extremism in South Africa. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/sareport7-v2.pdf
Chicago
Cachalia, Raeesah Cassim, and Albertus Schoeman. Violent extremism in South Africa. Institute for Security Studies, 2017. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/sareport7-v2.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Cachalia |first1=Raeesah Cassim |last2=Schoeman |first2=Albertus |title=Violent extremism in South Africa |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=May 2017 |url=https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/sareport7-v2.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{cachalia2017violent, author = {Cachalia, Raeesah Cassim and Schoeman, Albertus}, title = {{Violent extremism in South Africa}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2017}, month = may, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/sareport7-v2.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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