ACPP Daily Briefings Week 19

The document analyzes the first free presidential election in Egypt following the ousting of Hosni Mubarak. It identifies three front-running candidates—Amr Moussa, Mohammed Mursi, and Abdelmumein Al Futuh—and discusses the tension between continuity and change. The briefing highlights critical challenges for the incoming president, including high unemployment, the absence of a finalized constitution, and the influential role of the military in both politics and the economy. It also notes the interests of international actors, specifically the United States, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, in the election's outcome.

• The 2012 Egyptian presidential election features twelve candidates, with the primary competition split between those representing continuity (Amr Moussa and Abdelmumein Al Futuh) and those representing change (Mohammed Mursi).
• The lack of a constitution prior to the election creates risks of power abuse or the potential for the new president to revert to the governance style of Hosni Mubarak to maintain stability, which could delay democratic consolidation.
• The Egyptian military's deep integration into the political and economic systems makes it a decisive factor in the election's success; a Mursi victory could increase tensions and protests, while a Moussa victory might maintain the status quo of military autonomy over its budget and interests.
• International and regional powers have diverging interests in the outcome: the United States may support the military against a Muslim Brotherhood win, Qatar supports a pro-Islamic government, and Saudi Arabia likely favors Amr Moussa for political continuity.

APA

Institute for Security Studies (2012). ACPP Daily Briefings Week 19. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/24May2012.pdf

Chicago

Institute for Security Studies. ACPP Daily Briefings Week 19. 2012. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/24May2012.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Institute for Security Studies |title=ACPP Daily Briefings Week 19 |date=24 May 2012 |url=https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/24May2012.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{instituteforsecuritystudies2012acpp, author = {{Institute for Security Studies}}, title = {{ACPP Daily Briefings Week 19}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2012}, month = may, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/24May2012.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }