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This August 2013 report from the Institute for Security Studies provides analysis on several African security crises, focusing on the political instability in Egypt following the ousting of President Mohamed Morsi, the stalled transition in Madagascar, and rising tensions between Frelimo and Renamo in Mozambique. It also examines the African Union's (AU) efforts to establish the African Capacity for Immediate Response to Crisis (ACIRC) to address leadership failures in emergency responses, and the political crisis in South Sudan following the dissolution of its government by President Salva Kiir.

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  • The African Union's Peace and Security Council (PSC) suspended Egypt's participation in AU activities following the overthrow of President Mohamed Morsi, which the PSC classified as an "unconstitutional change of government".
  • Egypt's economic situation is precarious, with foreign currency reserves dropping from $36 billion to $13 billion over two years, leaving enough for only three months of wheat and petroleum imports.
  • The AU is attempting to establish the African Capacity for Immediate Response to Crisis (ACIRC) as a temporary, flexible force to provide immediate emergency response capabilities, following a perceived failure of leadership during the January 2013 crisis in Mali.
  • The transition in Madagascar has stalled due to disputes over the candidacy of Andry Nirina Rajoelina, Didier Ratsiraka, and Lalao Ravalomanana, with the AU and SADC arguing that their participation violates regional laws and previous commitments.
  • In Mozambique, tensions have escalated between the ruling Frelimo party and the opposition Renamo, with Renamo attacking civilian vehicles and threatening to close the EN1 road and the Sena railway line.
  • Mozambique's security situation is complicated by the fact that the country chaired the SADC Summit until August 2013, which the report suggests may have prevented the crisis from being placed on the SADC security agenda.
  • South Sudan entered a political crisis on 23 July 2013 when President Salva Kiir dissolved his government, including the removal of Vice President Riek Machar and SPLM secretary general Pagan Amum.
  • South Sudan faces a severe humanitarian crisis in Jonglei state, where thousands of civilians have been killed or displaced since September 2012 due to conflict between the SPLA and militants led by David Yau Yau, as well as communal violence.
  • The AU's transition from the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) is noted for its shift toward a more proactive role, including the right to intervene in member states and a commitment to good governance and human rights.

Cite the original document

APA
Institute for Security Studies (n.d.). psc49aug13e-32062e225e09d3b6.pdf. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC49Aug13E.pdf
Chicago
Institute for Security Studies. psc49aug13e-32062e225e09d3b6.pdf. n.d. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC49Aug13E.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Institute for Security Studies |title=psc49aug13e-32062e225e09d3b6.pdf |url=https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC49Aug13E.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{instituteforsecuritystudiesndpsc49aug13e32062e225e09d3b6pdf, author = {{Institute for Security Studies}}, title = {{psc49aug13e-32062e225e09d3b6.pdf}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/PSC49Aug13E.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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