Large Infrastructure

The report outlines the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario, which models the effects of targeted infrastructure investment in Africa from 2027 to 2050. It emphasizes the synergy between large-scale renewable energy, off-grid solutions, and ICT to lower barriers for private capital and formalize the informal economy. The analysis uses the International Futures (IFs) platform to categorize spending across traditional, ICT, and other infrastructure, benchmarking progress against developing regions in South Asia and South America.

• The scenario posits that large-scale renewable energy, off-grid and micro-grid solutions, and ICT infrastructure work together to reduce barriers for private capital and accelerate the formalization of the informal economy.
• The modeled policy interventions are scheduled to begin in 2027, with a ten-year implementation phase ending in 2036, and the resulting gains maintained until 2050.
• The scenario's design is based on benchmarking African progress against similar development stages in South Asia and South America.
• The International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform used in the study categorizes infrastructure into traditional (water, roads, electricity, sanitation, wastewater), ICT (mobile phones, fixed and mobile broadband), and 'other' (ports, airports, railways), while excluding infrastructure funded specifically through public-private partnerships.

APA

Yeboua, K. (2026). Large Infrastructure. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=09-infrastructure-leapfrogging-scenario

Chicago

Yeboua, Kouassi. Large Infrastructure. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=09-infrastructure-leapfrogging-scenario.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Yeboua |first1=Kouassi |title=Large Infrastructure |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=25 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=09-infrastructure-leapfrogging-scenario |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{yeboua2026large, author = {Yeboua, Kouassi}, title = {{Large Infrastructure}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=11-large-infrastructure&topic=09-infrastructure-leapfrogging-scenario}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }