Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA

The report examines Nigeria's food systems, highlighting a projected increase in chronic hunger and extreme poverty by 2030. It identifies livestock as the primary source of agricultural GHG emissions and notes significant climate vulnerabilities, particularly for rice yields. The analysis reveals a stark dietary divide between income groups, with wealthier households consuming more animal-based proteins. While national dietary guidelines and climate policies exist, the report finds a substantial gap in Official Development Assistance (ODA) required to meet SDG 2 targets.

• Projections indicate that without additional measures, extreme poverty in Nigeria will stagnate or slightly increase from 40% in 2020 to 41% by 2030, while chronic hunger is predicted to rise from 13% in 2020 to 17% in 2030.
• Agricultural greenhouse gas emissions are increasing, primarily driven by livestock production, which accounted for 78% of agricultural production emissions in 2018; rice production followed at 11%.
• Climate change is expected to reduce agricultural yields by 2050, with rice being the most vulnerable crop, showing projected yield drops between 7% and 25% over short- and long-term horizons.
• Nigeria faces a 'double burden' of malnutrition, where persistent undernutrition—such as stunting affecting 37% of children under 5 in 2018—coexists with rising adult obesity, estimated at 9% in 2016.
• Dietary patterns vary significantly by income: the poorest households spend the largest share of their food budget on grains and flours (29.6%), whereas the richest households allocate a much higher share (27.4%) to animal-based proteins.
• There is a significant gap between current Official Development Assistance (ODA) and the funding needed to achieve Sustainable Development Goal 2 (SDG 2) in Nigeria, a gap that is the largest among the three countries studied in the project.
• National dietary guidelines, last updated in 2006, are described as general rather than prescriptive, focusing on variety and the reduction of salt, sugary foods, and animal-sourced fats.
• Climate impacts are geographically divergent: the northern region is projected to become drier with increased desertification, while the southern region is expected to become wetter with increased flooding and saltwater intrusion.

APA

Bizikova, L., De Brauw, A., Rose, M. E., Laborde, D., Motsumi, K., Murphy, M., Parent, M., Picard, F., & Smaller, C. (2022). Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA. International Institute for Sustainable Development. https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2022-05/country-diagnostic-nigeria-food-systems-climate-change-diets.pdf

Chicago

Bizikova, Livia, Alan De Brauw, Mali Eber Rose, David Laborde, Kulthoum Motsumi, Mike Murphy, Marie Parent, Francine Picard, and Carin Smaller. Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA. International Institute for Sustainable Development, 2022. https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2022-05/country-diagnostic-nigeria-food-systems-climate-change-diets.pdf.

Wikipedia

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BibTeX

@techreport{bizikova2022country, author = {Bizikova, Livia and De Brauw, Alan and Rose, Mali Eber and Laborde, David and Motsumi, Kulthoum and Murphy, Mike and Parent, Marie and Picard, Francine and Smaller, Carin}, title = {{Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA}}, institution = {International Institute for Sustainable Development}, year = {2022}, month = may, url = {https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2022-05/country-diagnostic-nigeria-food-systems-climate-change-diets.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }