Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA

This country diagnostic report for Nigeria, published by the International Institute for Sustainable Development in May 2022, examines the intersection of food systems, climate change, and diets. It combines current socio-economic and nutritional data with Ceres2030 model projections to assess trends in poverty, hunger, and greenhouse gas emissions. The report highlights the challenges of a growing population, the impact of climate variability on crop yields, and the gap in Official Development Assistance (ODA) required to meet Sustainable Development Goal 2 targets.

• Projections indicate that without additional measures, extreme poverty in Nigeria is expected to stagnate or slightly increase from 40% in 2020 to 41% by 2030, while chronic hunger is predicted to rise from 13% in 2020 to 17% in 2030.
• Agricultural greenhouse gas emissions are increasing, primarily driven by livestock production, which accounted for 78% of agricultural production emissions in 2018. Projections suggest production emissions will increase by 2.3% per year, or 25% over a decade.
• Nigeria faces significant nutritional challenges, including high rates of stunting and wasting in children under 5 (37% and 7% respectively in 2018). Additionally, anemia affects approximately 50% of women of reproductive age, and adult obesity was estimated at 9% in 2016.
• Climate change is projected to reduce agricultural yields by 2050, with rice being particularly vulnerable, showing potential yield drops between 7% and 25%. While increased rainfall may benefit cassava, it is expected to negatively impact the productivity of maize, tomato, and melon.
• Dietary patterns vary significantly by income and region. Poorest households spend the largest share of food expenditures on grains and flours (29.6%), whereas the richest households allocate a much higher share to animal-based proteins (27.4% compared to 15.9% for the poorest).
• Nigeria's food-based dietary guidelines, published in 2001 and 2006, are described as general and non-prescriptive, focusing on eating a variety of foods and reducing salt, sugar, and animal-sourced fats.
• Between 2014 and 2018, an average of USD 555 million was disbursed annually to food system projects, representing 26% of ODA grants and philanthropic donations. The United States was the largest donor, providing 34% of this amount.
• Ceres2030 modelling indicates that Nigeria has the largest gap between current ODA and the funding needed to meet Sustainable Development Goal 2 (SDG 2) targets by 2030 compared to Ethiopia and Malawi.

APA

Bizikova, L., De Brauw, A., Rose, M. E., Laborde, D., Motsumi, K., Murphy, M., Parent, M., Picard, F., & Smaller, C. (2022). Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA. International Institute for Sustainable Development. https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2022-05/country-diagnostic-nigeria-food-systems-climate-change-diets.pdf

Chicago

Bizikova, Livia, Alan De Brauw, Mali Eber Rose, David Laborde, Kulthoum Motsumi, Mike Murphy, Marie Parent, Francine Picard, and Carin Smaller. Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA. International Institute for Sustainable Development, 2022. https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2022-05/country-diagnostic-nigeria-food-systems-climate-change-diets.pdf.

Wikipedia

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BibTeX

@techreport{bizikova2022country, author = {Bizikova, Livia and De Brauw, Alan and Rose, Mali Eber and Laborde, David and Motsumi, Kulthoum and Murphy, Mike and Parent, Marie and Picard, Francine and Smaller, Carin}, title = {{Country Diagnostic Report: NIGERIA}}, institution = {International Institute for Sustainable Development}, year = {2022}, month = may, url = {https://www.iisd.org/system/files/2022-05/country-diagnostic-nigeria-food-systems-climate-change-diets.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }