Un futuro más cálido, ¿huracanes más fuertes?

This fact sheet describes a study by Jeffrey Donnelly and colleagues on Atlantic hurricane activity over the last 1,500 years, using proxy data from statistical models and sedimentary records to identify historical peaks in storm frequency.

• Analysis of Atlantic hurricane activity over the past 1,500 years indicates that storm frequency reached a peak during the medieval period (approximately 900-1100 AD) that is comparable to current levels of activity.
• Hurricane activity decreased significantly after 1500 AD, partially coinciding with the Little Ice Age between the 16th and 19th centuries, before increasing again starting in 1850 and specifically from 1980 onwards.
• The study suggests a correlation between higher sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic and an increased number of hurricanes, noting that the medieval maximum occurred during a period of elevated sea surface temperatures.
• Researchers used 'proxy' data to reconstruct historical activity, including statistical climate models based on air or ocean temperature and the study of 'overwash' fans—sand layers deposited in lagoons or coastal lakes when hurricanes hit land.
• Regardless of whether current hurricane frequency is caused by climate change, increased use of coastal areas has created new vulnerabilities, necessitating measures to prevent human and material losses.

APA

Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (2010). Un futuro más cálido, ¿huracanes más fuertes? https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/06/Snapshot2_warmer_future_sp.pdf

Chicago

Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research. Un futuro más cálido, ¿huracanes más fuertes? 2010. https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/06/Snapshot2_warmer_future_sp.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research |title=Un futuro más cálido, ¿huracanes más fuertes? |date=2010 |url=https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/06/Snapshot2_warmer_future_sp.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{interamericaninstituteforglobalchangeresearch2010futuro, author = {{Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}}, title = {{Un futuro más cálido, ¿huracanes más fuertes?}}, institution = {Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}, year = {2010}, url = {https://iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/uploads/2014/06/Snapshot2_warmer_future_sp.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }