Un écologiste à l'Élysée : de l'hypothèse folle aux conditions pour y parvenir

The author argues that while polls suggest a second-round runoff between Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen, a Green candidate could potentially disrupt this by securing at least 8 million first-round votes. This would require unifying fragmented left-wing and social-democratic electorates into a 'social-ecological' bloc. The strategy relies on shifting the political narrative from mere crisis management to a vision of a stable, different future rooted in ecological transition and social protection, leveraging the psychological impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the global climate crisis.

• The author identifies a theoretical potential electoral bloc of approximately 10 million voters by combining historical data from left-wing candidates, including those who voted for Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Benoît Hamon in 2017 and François Hollande in 2012.
• A successful strategy requires the creation of a unified 'social-ecological' bloc that merges the ecological perspective with the social-democratic tradition to appeal to a 'central constellation' of voters focused on social justice, public services, and the welfare state.
• The COVID-19 pandemic and the global ecological crisis are viewed as catalysts that make the public more receptive to ecological solutions, provided the candidate offers a future that is both 'different' (breaking with previous models) and 'stable'.
• The author posits that Marine Le Pen's strong electoral base makes the 2022 election a battle over the best alternative to her, suggesting that a Green candidate must move beyond technical 'things' to speak to the emotional distress of voters.

APA

Marie, M. (2021). Un écologiste à l'Élysée : de l'hypothèse folle aux conditions pour y parvenir. Green European Journal. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/2022-un-ecologiste-a-lelysee-de-lhypothese-folle-aux-conditions-pour-y-parvenir/

Chicago

Marie, Mickaël. Un écologiste à l'Élysée : de l'hypothèse folle aux conditions pour y parvenir. Green European Journal, 2021. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/2022-un-ecologiste-a-lelysee-de-lhypothese-folle-aux-conditions-pour-y-parvenir/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Marie |first1=Mickaël |title=Un écologiste à l'Élysée : de l'hypothèse folle aux conditions pour y parvenir |publisher=Green European Journal |date=18 June 2021 |url=https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/2022-un-ecologiste-a-lelysee-de-lhypothese-folle-aux-conditions-pour-y-parvenir/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{marie2021cologiste, author = {Marie, Mickaël}, title = {{Un écologiste à l'Élysée : de l'hypothèse folle aux conditions pour y parvenir}}, institution = {Green European Journal}, year = {2021}, month = jun, url = {https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/2022-un-ecologiste-a-lelysee-de-lhypothese-folle-aux-conditions-pour-y-parvenir/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }