Ndryshimet klimatike dhe migrimi: mite dhe realitete

The research paper analyzes the intersection of climate change and migration, challenging the narrative of inevitable mass migration from the Global South to the Global North. It highlights the lack of consensus on terminology, such as the contested use of 'climate refugees,' and notes that most climate-induced movement is internal. The author argues that voluntary, planned migration can serve as a positive adaptation strategy, benefiting migrants, origin communities, and destination areas. The document calls for coherent, multi-scalar governance and the integration of climate considerations into EU migration and development policies.

• There is no global consensus on the terminology or definition of people displaced by climate change. While 'climate refugees' was used to create urgency, it is contested by legal experts because the 1951 Geneva Convention does not recognize environmental degradation as a ground for refugee status.
• Quantitative predictions of climate-induced migration are highly debated and often based on deterministic assumptions. While a 2018 World Bank report estimated up to 143 million internal climate migrants in Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, and South Asia by 2050, the 2019 IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere expressed low confidence in quantitative migration projections.
• Scientific evidence contradicts the narrative of mass migration to Europe, suggesting that most people affected by climate change migrate within their own countries. International long-distance migration requires resources that many vulnerable populations lack, and environmental change may actually make migration less possible for some.
• Climate-induced displacement is not exclusive to the Global South; it is already occurring in North America and Europe. Modeling suggests that floods could displace an average of 15,000 people annually in Spain and over 28,000 in France.
• Voluntary and planned migration can be a viable adaptation strategy that creates a 'triple win' for migrants, origin communities (through financial remittances and reduced pressure on resources), and destination communities (by addressing aging populations and stimulating economies).
• Some governments are implementing proactive migration policies as adaptation measures. Kiribati's 'Migration with Dignity' policy focuses on education and skills to facilitate voluntary migration to New Zealand, while Vietnam, Sierra Leone, and Fiji are proposing planned internal relocation of vulnerable communities.

APA

Zickgraf, C. (2022). Ndryshimet klimatike dhe migrimi: mite dhe realitete. Green European Journal. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/ndryshimet-klimatike-dhe-migrimi-mite-dhe-realitete/

Chicago

Zickgraf, Caroline. Ndryshimet klimatike dhe migrimi: mite dhe realitete. Green European Journal, 2022. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/ndryshimet-klimatike-dhe-migrimi-mite-dhe-realitete/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Zickgraf |first1=Caroline |title=Ndryshimet klimatike dhe migrimi: mite dhe realitete |publisher=Green European Journal |date=29 March 2022 |url=https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/ndryshimet-klimatike-dhe-migrimi-mite-dhe-realitete/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{zickgraf2022ndryshimet, author = {Zickgraf, Caroline}, title = {{Ndryshimet klimatike dhe migrimi: mite dhe realitete}}, institution = {Green European Journal}, year = {2022}, month = mar, url = {https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/ndryshimet-klimatike-dhe-migrimi-mite-dhe-realitete/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }