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The report examines the pathways for a just energy transition in the Pacific, highlighting that while 14 Pacific Island Countries (PICs) contribute only 0.23% of global emissions, they are disproportionately affected by climate change. It estimates the upfront cost of replacing fossil fuel electricity generation in eight profiled PICs between $691 million and $1 billion USD. The document argues that a just transition must go beyond technology swaps to include economic diversification, poverty eradication, and the protection of workers, particularly in Papua New Guinea's fossil fuel sector. It also warns of a 'double exposure' where the region faces both climate impacts and potential environmental damage from increased mining of Energy Transition Metals (ETMs).

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  • Pacific Island Countries (PICs) contribute minimally to global greenhouse gas emissions but are on the frontlines of the climate crisis. The 14 PICs that ratified the Paris Agreement are responsible for just 0.23% of annual global emissions, while the top 15 emitting nations account for 71.88%.
  • The upfront cost to replace all existing fossil fuel electricity generation in the eight profiled PICs is estimated to be between $691 million USD and just over $1 billion USD, depending on the technology mix used.
  • A transition to renewables offers significant co-benefits beyond climate mitigation, including improved public health by reducing particulate air pollution from diesel generators, increased energy security, and greater resilience to extreme weather events.
  • The Pacific faces a 'double exposure' where it is vulnerable to climate change and simultaneously targeted for the extraction of Energy Transition Metals (ETMs) like copper, nickel, cobalt, and lithium needed for global green technologies.

Cite the original document

APA
Čašule, D. N., Edney-Browne, D. A., & Ali, R. (2023). KI MUA: TOWARDS A JUST TRANSITION FOR THE PACIFIC. Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative. https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/KI-MUA-Towards-a-just-transition-for-the-Pacific.pdf
Chicago
Čašule, Dr Nikola, Dr Alex Edney-Browne, and Raeed Ali. KI MUA: TOWARDS A JUST TRANSITION FOR THE PACIFIC. Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, 2023. https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/KI-MUA-Towards-a-just-transition-for-the-Pacific.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Čašule |first1=Dr Nikola |last2=Edney-Browne |first2=Dr Alex |last3=Ali |first3=Raeed |title=KI MUA: TOWARDS A JUST TRANSITION FOR THE PACIFIC |publisher=Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative |date=November 2023 |url=https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/KI-MUA-Towards-a-just-transition-for-the-Pacific.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{aule2023mua, author = {Čašule, Dr Nikola and Edney-Browne, Dr Alex and Ali, Raeed}, title = {{KI MUA: TOWARDS A JUST TRANSITION FOR THE PACIFIC}}, institution = {Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative}, year = {2023}, month = nov, url = {https://www.fossilfueltreaty.org/s/KI-MUA-Towards-a-just-transition-for-the-Pacific.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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