Tracking national ambition towards a global tripling of renewables

The report finds that while current national targets collectively aim for a doubling of renewable capacity by 2030, they often underestimate the actual pace of deployment. A global tripling to 11,000 GW is considered achievable if governments update targets to reflect recent growth and maintain a 17% annual increase in additions. The analysis identifies specific countries with high potential to increase ambition, such as Australia, Japan, South Korea, and the UAE, while noting that others like India and Saudi Arabia already have targets that aim for a tripling of their 2022 capacity.

• Current national targets for 57 countries and the EU collectively put the world on track to more than double renewable capacity by 2030, reaching an estimated 7,250 GW compared to 3,382 GW in 2022.
• A global tripling of renewable capacity to 11,000 GW by 2030 is feasible if the world maintains the 17% annual growth rate in additions achieved between 2016 and 2023, increasing annual additions from 500 GW in 2023 to approximately 1.5 TW by 2030.
• Many government targets are outdated and do not reflect the recent acceleration in deployment; 12 countries are adding capacity in 2023 faster than the average annual pace required to meet their 2030 targets, and 22 countries have project pipelines for wind and solar that exceed their 2030 targets.
• Ten countries have set 2030 targets that aim to triple or more than triple their 2022 renewable capacity, including India, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Ireland, Israel, Czechia, Hungary, Lithuania, and Estonia.
• Several high per capita emitters have renewable targets that are considered low or behind the curve of their own current growth, specifically Australia, Japan, South Korea, and the United Arab Emirates.
• China and the EU are on track to double their renewable capacity by 2030, with China's implicit target at 2,461 GW and the EU's REPowerEU target at 1,236 GW.

APA

Altieri, K., Jones, D., Lee, U., & Zaimoglu, O. (2023). Tracking national ambition towards a global tripling of renewables. Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Report-Tracking-national-ambition-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables-1.pdf

Chicago

Altieri, Katye, Dave Jones, Uni Lee, and Oya Zaimoglu. Tracking national ambition towards a global tripling of renewables. Ember, 2023. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Report-Tracking-national-ambition-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables-1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Altieri |first1=Katye |last2=Jones |first2=Dave |last3=Lee |first3=Uni |last4=Zaimoglu |first4=Oya |title=Tracking national ambition towards a global tripling of renewables |publisher=Ember |date=21 November 2023 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Report-Tracking-national-ambition-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables-1.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{altieri2023tracking, author = {Altieri, Katye and Jones, Dave and Lee, Uni and Zaimoglu, Oya}, title = {{Tracking national ambition towards a global tripling of renewables}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2023}, month = nov, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2024/10/Report-Tracking-national-ambition-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }