Tripling renewables and doubling efficiency will accelerate a fossil phaseout
Summary
The briefing asserts that tripling renewables and doubling energy efficiency by 2030 will provide 85% of the required cuts in unabated fossil fuels for that period. By 2035, these two actions alone are projected to reduce total CO2 emissions by more than half. The document emphasizes that while nuclear energy and carbon capture and storage (CCS) play roles, their contributions are significantly smaller due to slow deployment and technology immaturity, making renewables and efficiency the most effective tools for a rapid fossil fuel phaseout.
Key insights
- Tripling global renewables capacity to 11,000 GW and doubling energy intensity improvements to 4% per year by 2030 will account for 85% of the necessary reductions in unabated fossil fuel use by that date.
- By 2035, the combined impact of renewables and energy efficiency is projected to reduce total CO2 emissions by more than 50%, delivering 86% of the total decrease in unabated fossil fuel demand.
- The contribution of nuclear energy and carbon capture and storage (CCS) to fossil fuel reduction is minimal compared to renewables and efficiency; by 2035, nuclear energy provides a 9% decrease and CCS provides a 6% decrease in fossil fuel use.
- Tripling renewables is expected to halve coal power by 2030, which would result in nearly half of the required methane reductions from the coal mining sector during this decade.
- While the power sector sees a larger percentage drop in emissions (76% fall in unabated fossil fuel use), the absolute cuts to fossil fuel use are greater in the rest of the energy sector (147 exajoules compared to 133 exajoules in power).
Cite the original document
- APA
- Ember (2023). Tripling renewables and doubling efficiency will accelerate a fossil phaseout. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/tripling-renewables-and-doubling-efficiency-will-accelerate-a-fossil-phaseout
- Chicago
- Ember. Tripling renewables and doubling efficiency will accelerate a fossil phaseout. 2023. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/tripling-renewables-and-doubling-efficiency-will-accelerate-a-fossil-phaseout.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Ember |title=Tripling renewables and doubling efficiency will accelerate a fossil phaseout |date=29 November 2023 |url=https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/tripling-renewables-and-doubling-efficiency-will-accelerate-a-fossil-phaseout |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{ember2023tripling, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Tripling renewables and doubling efficiency will accelerate a fossil phaseout}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2023}, month = nov, url = {https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/tripling-renewables-and-doubling-efficiency-will-accelerate-a-fossil-phaseout}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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