Over-crediting analysis PoA 10415 Results from python analysis

The analysis finds that PoA 10415 is likely to issue 26.33 times more credits than it should have across monitoring periods 5, 6, and 7. This over-crediting is driven by multiple factors, with the fraction of non-renewable biomass (fNRB) contributing a factor of 2.94 and fuel stacking contributing 2.19. The project, based in Myanmar, is transitioning from the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) to the Article 6.4 mechanism of the Paris Agreement.

• Based on the application of Gill-Wiehl's (2024) methodology, PoA 10415 is likely to issue 26.33 times more credits than it should have across monitoring periods 5, 6, and 7.
• The over-crediting is the result of several contributing factors across the monitoring periods, with the highest individual impact coming from the fNRB value at 2.94 and fuel stacking at 2.19.
• The project PoA 10415 has been approved by the Article 6.4 Supervisory Body to transition from the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) to the Article 6.4 mechanism, also known as the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism (PACM).

APA

Carbon Market Watch (n.d.). Over-crediting analysis PoA 10415 Results from python analysis. https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Results-Over-crediting-analysis-10415.pdf

Chicago

Carbon Market Watch. Over-crediting analysis PoA 10415 Results from python analysis. n.d. https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Results-Over-crediting-analysis-10415.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Carbon Market Watch |title=Over-crediting analysis PoA 10415 Results from python analysis |url=https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Results-Over-crediting-analysis-10415.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{carbonmarketwatchndovercrediting, author = {{Carbon Market Watch}}, title = {{Over-crediting analysis PoA 10415 Results from python analysis}}, institution = {Carbon Market Watch}, url = {https://carbonmarketwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Results-Over-crediting-analysis-10415.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }