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Balances oferta-demanda de energía eléctrica ante escenarios de salida de plantas térmicas en Colombia
The document analyzes four scenarios for the decommissioning of coal and gas plants in Colombia, finding that while average energy balances remain positive, significant deficits in 'firm energy' (guaranteed supply during critical periods like droughts) would emerge. The most severe deficit of 37.9% by 2038 is projected under both synchronous and sequential phase-out scenarios. To mitigate these risks, the report argues for additional renewable capacity beyond current plans, improved transmission infrastructure, and the implementation of battery energy storage systems (BESS).
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Document type: Policy brief