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This report by FSD Africa provides a first quantitative risk assessment and stress-testing framework for financial institutions in Africa to evaluate nature-related opportunities and risks. Using the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD) LEAP approach, the study analyzes the impact of nature loss and nature-positive transitions on equity and lending portfolios across several African countries and private banks. It highlights that while aggregate portfolio impacts may appear small due to limited direct exposure, the risks are material for nature-intensive sectors like agriculture and extractives, where nature-related risks could double expected credit losses by 2030.

This report evaluates the operational feasibility and reliability of California achieving an accelerated interim target of 85% clean electricity by 2030. Using production cost modeling (PLEXOS) and capacity expansion modeling (RESOLVE), the study stress-tests three resource portfolios—Base Case, Diverse Clean Resources, and High Electrification—against various stressors including extreme weather, gas and coal retirements, and import constraints. The findings indicate that an 85% clean target is reliably achievable, provided there is sufficient battery storage and a strategic retention of some natural gas capacity or access to regional imports.