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Review of Dr. Andrew Gray’s “AIR QUALITY IMPACTS AND HEALTH EFFECTS DUE TO LARGE STATIONARY SOURCE EMISSIONS IN AND AROUND SOUTH AFRICA’S MPUMALANGA HIGHVELD PRIORITY AREA (HPA)” (June2019)
Professor Peter Orris reviews Dr. Andrew Gray's modeling of emissions from 12 coal-fired power plants, a Synfuels facility, and a NatRef refinery in South Africa. Orris concludes that these facilities create a significant public health hazard, contributing to hundreds of premature deaths annually via PM2.5 exposure. He notes that while implementing the 2020 Minimum Emission Standards (MES) would significantly reduce PM2.5-related deaths, it would not eliminate all WHO guideline exceedances for SO2 and NO2. The review emphasizes the vulnerability of children and the elderly at sensitive sites like schools and hospitals.
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Document type: Report