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The document analyzes the potential market value of three key energy efficiency technologies for commercial and residential buildings: insulation, lighting, and building controls. It projects growth from 2010 to 2030 across the European Union, the United States, and global markets, comparing an 'incremental' scenario based on current policies and an 'aggressive' scenario based on more ambitious legislation. The findings generally indicate robust short-term growth (2010-2020) across all technologies, with varying long-term trajectories depending on the level of government intervention and regulatory stringency.

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  • Across all three technology categories—insulation, lighting, and building controls—market value is expected to grow from 2010 to 2030 under both the incremental and aggressive scenarios, with particularly robust growth in the short-term (2010-2020).
  • Under the incremental scenario, insulation in the EU-15 is forecast to have a compound average growth rate (CAGR) of 3.9% in the short-term and 4% in the long-term, driven initially by the Energy Performance Building Directive (EPBD 2010) and the Kyoto Protocol.
  • Global lighting markets are projected to grow at a CAGR of 6% short-term and 5.7% long-term under the incremental scenario, while the aggressive scenario forecasts a higher short-term CAGR of 8% and a long-term CAGR of 6%, driven by the phase-out of inefficient lighting and a shift toward LED technology.
  • Building controls in the EU and U.S. are forecast to grow at a CAGR of 7% short-term and 6% long-term in the incremental scenario, and 10% short-term and 7% long-term in the aggressive scenario, with growth driven by government incentives, smart grid standards, and energy performance reporting.
  • Energy use in commercial and residential buildings is responsible for approximately 24% of global greenhouse gas emissions and 40% of global energy consumption.

Cite the original document

APA
World Resources Institute (n.d.). Green Investment Horizons. https://www.wri.org/research/green-investment-horizons
Chicago
World Resources Institute. Green Investment Horizons. n.d. https://www.wri.org/research/green-investment-horizons.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=World Resources Institute |title=Green Investment Horizons |url=https://www.wri.org/research/green-investment-horizons |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{worldresourcesinstitutendgreen, author = {{World Resources Institute}}, title = {{Green Investment Horizons}}, institution = {World Resources Institute}, url = {https://www.wri.org/research/green-investment-horizons}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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