零碳之路：“十四五”开启中国绿色发展新篇章

This report by the World Resources Institute (WRI) outlines a strategic pathway for China to achieve deep decarbonization by 2050, focusing on the critical transition period of the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021–2025). It argues that adopting a 'Strengthened Ambition Scenario' (SAS) can lead to significant economic and social benefits, including a net social gain of 6.5 trillion yuan in 2050 and the avoidance of 1.89 million premature deaths annually by that year. The report emphasizes the role of key economic regions—the Yangtze River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area—in leading the national transition by peaking emissions early.

• Under the SAS, China's CO2 emissions could peak in 2026 at approximately 10.3 billion tons, significantly earlier than the 2030 target. This path would reduce CO2 emissions to around 3.6 billion tons by 2050, potentially enabling carbon neutrality by 2060.
• Case study analysis of Zhejiang Province indicates that it could achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 under a 'near-zero' scenario. This would involve increasing the share of non-fossil energy in primary consumption to 83% by 2050.

APA

World Resources Institute (n.d.). 零碳之路：“十四五”开启中国绿色发展新篇章. https://files.wri.org/s3fs-public/accelerating-net-zero-transition-china_3.pdf?RLUd6F6efcSMSwRt_wI6FT5DcJnYwUfX

Chicago

World Resources Institute. 零碳之路：“十四五”开启中国绿色发展新篇章. n.d. https://files.wri.org/s3fs-public/accelerating-net-zero-transition-china_3.pdf?RLUd6F6efcSMSwRt_wI6FT5DcJnYwUfX.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=World Resources Institute |title=零碳之路：“十四五”开启中国绿色发展新篇章 |url=https://files.wri.org/s3fs-public/accelerating-net-zero-transition-china_3.pdf?RLUd6F6efcSMSwRt_wI6FT5DcJnYwUfX |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{worldresourcesinstitutend, author = {{World Resources Institute}}, title = {{零碳之路：“十四五”开启中国绿色发展新篇章}}, institution = {World Resources Institute}, url = {https://files.wri.org/s3fs-public/accelerating-net-zero-transition-china_3.pdf?RLUd6F6efcSMSwRt_wI6FT5DcJnYwUfX}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }