Technology Futures: Projecting the Possible, Navigating What’s Next

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The report argues that technological progress follows an accelerating exponential function and can be analyzed through three enduring layers: interaction, information, and computation. It introduces the LEnS framework to filter these trends into probable and possible future scenarios. Key projections include the rise of a 'liquid workforce', the growth of clean energy, the potential for a VR-enabled Metaverse, and a shift toward competency-based, lifelong learning. The document concludes that the future of technology is converging toward 'simplicity' in interaction, 'abundance' in computation, and 'intelligence' in information.

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  • Technological progress is characterized by an accelerating tempo, where the duration of waves of change is shrinking over time, following an exponential function.
  • The history and future of information technology are structured around three consistent layers: interaction, information, and computation.
  • Data generation is increasing rapidly; worldwide daily data production was 2.5 quintillion bytes in 2020 and is estimated to reach 463 exabytes per day by 2025.
  • The workplace is shifting toward a 'liquid workforce' model, characterized by a move away from traditional 9-to-5 careers toward flexible, gig-based employment.
  • While fossil fuel consumption rose by 9% globally over the last decade, clean energy and low-carbon sources are seeing increased commercial viability and consumer adoption.
  • The future of locality may diverge into two extremes: a virtual revolution (such as a VR-enabled Metaverse) or a physical resurgence emphasizing in-person socialization and nature.
  • Education is shifting toward 'gig learning' and lifelong learning, with a projected increase in 'nanodegrees' and competency-based hiring over traditional tertiary degrees.
  • The report projects that the 'endgames' of technology will be the achievement of simplicity in interaction, abundance in computation, and intelligence in information.

Cite the original document

APA
World Economic Forum (2021). Technology Futures: Projecting the Possible, Navigating What’s Next. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Technology_Futures_GTGS_2021.pdf
Chicago
World Economic Forum. Technology Futures: Projecting the Possible, Navigating What’s Next. 2021. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Technology_Futures_GTGS_2021.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=World Economic Forum |title=Technology Futures: Projecting the Possible, Navigating What’s Next |date=April 2021 |url=http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Technology_Futures_GTGS_2021.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{worldeconomicforum2021technology, author = {{World Economic Forum}}, title = {{Technology Futures: Projecting the Possible, Navigating What’s Next}}, institution = {World Economic Forum}, year = {2021}, month = apr, url = {http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Technology_Futures_GTGS_2021.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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