Climate change is already rewriting the job market in the Western Balkans

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Climate change and the green transition are significantly disrupting the labour market in the Western Balkans, with nearly 3 million jobs exposed to climate shocks or transition risks. The region faces substantial GDP losses from extreme weather and the potential collapse of communities dependent on brown-coal-fired power plants. While EU funds have supported some projects, the author contends that without targeted training and social protections, the transition risks leaving the most vulnerable workers behind.

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  • Climate change and the green transition pose a significant threat to employment in the Western Balkans, with nearly 3 million jobs either directly exposed to climate shocks or at risk due to the transition. Extreme weather impacts are expected to cause GDP losses of up to 16% across the region.
  • The phase-out of 16 operational brown-coal-fired power plants represents a major social and political risk, particularly in Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, where over 29,000 coal-related jobs are at risk. Decommissioning costs for these plants range from €2.5 million to €12 million per plant.
  • Specific climate-driven disruptions have already caused severe economic damage: 2014 floods erased over 51,000 jobs, and a 2017 flood in Albania resulted in the loss of 15,000 hectares of crops.
  • Kosovo faces a particularly acute transition challenge, with up to 17% of its workforce requiring changes to their job tasks due to the green transition, occurring in a context where over half of the working-age population is inactive.
  • Despite the mobilization of €6.8 billion and the backing of 21 green flagship projects through European Union funds, the total financial, institutional, and social costs of the transition still exceed the region's capacity.

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APA
Bregu, M. (2025). Climate change is already rewriting the job market in the Western Balkans. World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/stories/climate-action/climate-change-is-already-rewriting-the-job-market-in-the-western-balkans/
Chicago
Bregu, Majlinda. Climate change is already rewriting the job market in the Western Balkans. World Economic Forum, 2025. https://www.weforum.org/stories/climate-action/climate-change-is-already-rewriting-the-job-market-in-the-western-balkans/.
Wikipedia
{{cite press release |last1=Bregu |first1=Majlinda |title=Climate change is already rewriting the job market in the Western Balkans |publisher=World Economic Forum |date=9 July 2025 |url=https://www.weforum.org/stories/climate-action/climate-change-is-already-rewriting-the-job-market-in-the-western-balkans/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@misc{bregu2025climate, author = {Bregu, Majlinda}, title = {{Climate change is already rewriting the job market in the Western Balkans}}, publisher = {World Economic Forum}, year = {2025}, month = jul, url = {https://www.weforum.org/stories/climate-action/climate-change-is-already-rewriting-the-job-market-in-the-western-balkans/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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