Oregon Clean Trucks Program

The report evaluates three policy scenarios for Oregon's medium- and heavy-duty (M/HD) truck fleet: the adoption of California's Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) rule, the addition of the NOx Omnibus Rule, and a more aggressive '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario. The most ambitious scenario projects cumulative net societal benefits of $35.6 billion by 2050, including 186 avoided premature deaths and $1.9 billion in annual fleet cost savings. While ZEVs currently have higher purchase costs, the analysis suggests they will reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030. The transition is expected to have positive macroeconomic effects on national jobs and GDP, and could reduce residential electricity rates in Oregon by up to 3.7% by 2050 due to increased utility net revenue.

• The most aggressive policy scenario (100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid) is projected to result in cumulative net societal benefits exceeding $35.6 billion through 2050, with 186 fewer premature deaths and 144 fewer hospital visits.
• Under the ACT Rule scenario, cumulative net societal benefits are estimated at $21.4 billion through 2050, including up to 79 avoided premature deaths and 63 fewer hospital visits.
• Zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) are expected to reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030, with an average ZEV purchased in 2040 projected to provide nearly $60,000 in discounted lifetime net savings.
• The transition to ZEVs could lower electricity rates for Oregon residential and commercial customers by up to 3.7% by 2050, potentially saving the average household $110 and commercial customers $650 annually.
• The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario is projected to reduce annual fleet NOx and PM emissions by 97% and 87% respectively by 2050 compared to the baseline.
• Macroeconomic analysis indicates that the ZEV transition will likely increase national net jobs and GDP, with new jobs in electrical component manufacturing and infrastructure construction paying average wages 85% higher than the jobs they replace.
• Significant infrastructure investment is required; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, annual fleet investments in depot charging must average $85 million and public/private investments in public networks must average $70 million from 2025 to 2050.

APA

Lowell, D., Saha, A., Freeman, M., MacNair, D., Seamonds, D., & Robo, E. (2021). Oregon Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-09/or-clean-trucks-report_0.pdf

Chicago

Lowell, Dana, Amlan Saha, Miranda Freeman, Doug MacNair, David Seamonds, and Ellen Robo. Oregon Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2021. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-09/or-clean-trucks-report_0.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Lowell |first1=Dana |last2=Saha |first2=Amlan |last3=Freeman |first3=Miranda |last4=MacNair |first4=Doug |last5=Seamonds |first5=David |last6=Robo |first6=Ellen |title=Oregon Clean Trucks Program |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=2021 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-09/or-clean-trucks-report_0.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{lowell2021oregon, author = {Lowell, Dana and Saha, Amlan and Freeman, Miranda and MacNair, Doug and Seamonds, David and Robo, Ellen}, title = {{Oregon Clean Trucks Program}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2021}, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-09/or-clean-trucks-report_0.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }