New Mexico Clean Trucks Program

The report analyzes the transition of New Mexico's medium- and heavy-duty (M/HD) vehicle fleet to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) under three policy scenarios: the Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Rule, the ACT Rule plus NOx Omnibus Rule, and a highly ambitious '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario. The analysis finds that while ZEVs currently have higher purchase costs, they are projected to reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030. The most aggressive scenario results in cumulative net societal benefits of over $6.7 billion by 2050, including 65 avoided premature deaths and 59 fewer hospital visits. Macroeconomic modeling suggests the transition would lead to national net job gains and increased GDP by 2035, with new jobs in electrical component manufacturing and infrastructure construction offering wages nearly twice as high as the jobs they replace. However, the report notes that increased electricity demand could potentially raise residential and commercial electricity rates in New Mexico by up to 2% by 2050 without effective utility planning.

• The New Mexico M/HD vehicle fleet, consisting of 261,467 vehicles, is a disproportionate source of pollution, contributing 35 percent of all on-road greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, 64 percent of nitrogen oxide (NOx), and 58 percent of particulate matter (PM2.5).
• The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario, the most aggressive policy evaluated, is projected to generate cumulative net societal benefits exceeding $6.7 billion by 2050, avoiding 65 premature deaths and 59 hospital visits.
• Under the ACT Rule scenario, cumulative net societal benefits are estimated at $3.7 billion through 2050, with annual fleet cost savings reaching $279 million by 2050.
• Average lifetime costs for M/HD ZEVs in New Mexico are expected to reach parity with combustion vehicles by 2030, with ZEVs purchased in 2040 projected to provide over $41,000 in discounted lifetime net savings.
• The transition to ZEVs is projected to have positive national macroeconomic effects; under the most aggressive scenario, net national job gains are estimated at 731 in 2035, with a corresponding $117 million increase in GDP.
• Increased electricity demand for M/HD EV charging could lead to negative net utility revenue, potentially increasing average residential and commercial electricity rates in New Mexico by up to 2% by 2050 under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario.

APA

Seamonds, D., Robo, E., Tolomiczenko, S., & Freeman, M. (2022). New Mexico Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-10/nm-clean-trucks-report.pdf

Chicago

Seamonds, David, Ellen Robo, Sophie Tolomiczenko, and Miranda Freeman. New Mexico Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2022. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-10/nm-clean-trucks-report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Seamonds |first1=David |last2=Robo |first2=Ellen |last3=Tolomiczenko |first3=Sophie |last4=Freeman |first4=Miranda |title=New Mexico Clean Trucks Program |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=2022 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-10/nm-clean-trucks-report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{seamonds2022new, author = {Seamonds, David and Robo, Ellen and Tolomiczenko, Sophie and Freeman, Miranda}, title = {{New Mexico Clean Trucks Program}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2022}, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-10/nm-clean-trucks-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }