Illinois Clean Trucks Program

The report analyzes the transition of Illinois's medium- and heavy-duty (M/HD) vehicle fleet to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) under three scenarios: the Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Rule, the ACT plus NOx Omnibus Rule, and a highly ambitious '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario. The most aggressive scenario is projected to yield cumulative net societal benefits of over $44.6 billion by 2050, including 878 avoided premature deaths and 995 fewer hospital visits. While ZEVs currently have higher purchase costs, the analysis projects that the average ZEV will reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030. The transition is expected to have positive macroeconomic effects, including net national job gains and increased GDP by 2035, although these gains depend on the development of U.S.-based component manufacturing. Significant infrastructure investment is required, with the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario requiring an average of $130 million annually for depot charging and $169 million for public charging networks through 2050.

• The Illinois M/HD vehicle fleet, consisting of 615,603 vehicles, is a disproportionate source of pollution, contributing 36 percent of all on-road greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, 67 percent of nitrogen oxide (NOx), and 59 percent of particulate matter (PM2.5).
• Under the most aggressive policy scenario (100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid), cumulative net societal benefits through 2050 are estimated to exceed $44.6 billion, with 878 avoided premature deaths and 995 avoided hospital visits.
• The least aggressive scenario, adoption of the ACT Rule, is projected to result in cumulative net societal benefits of almost $22.7 billion by 2050, including 310 fewer premature deaths and 347 fewer hospital visits.
• Zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) are expected to reach lifetime cost parity with internal combustion engine vehicles by 2030, with the average ZEV purchased in 2040 projected to provide over $50,000 in discounted lifetime net savings.
• The transition to ZEVs is projected to have positive national macroeconomic effects by 2035, with the 100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid scenario resulting in 1,386 net national job gains and a $239 million increase in GDP.
• Increased electricity sales from M/HD EV charging could lower electricity rates for Illinois residential and commercial customers; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, this could reduce average rates by up to 1.1% by 2050.

APA

Robo, E., Seamonds, D., Freeman, M., Saha, A., & MacNair, D. (2022). Illinois Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-07/il-clean-trucks-report.pdf

Chicago

Robo, Ellen, David Seamonds, Miranda Freeman, Amlan Saha, and Doug MacNair. Illinois Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2022. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-07/il-clean-trucks-report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Robo |first1=Ellen |last2=Seamonds |first2=David |last3=Freeman |first3=Miranda |last4=Saha |first4=Amlan |last5=MacNair |first5=Doug |title=Illinois Clean Trucks Program |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=2022 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-07/il-clean-trucks-report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{robo2022illinois, author = {Robo, Ellen and Seamonds, David and Freeman, Miranda and Saha, Amlan and MacNair, Doug}, title = {{Illinois Clean Trucks Program}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2022}, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-07/il-clean-trucks-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }