Federal Clean Trucks Program

The analysis finds that adopting a Federal Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) and NOx Omnibus policy would significantly reduce greenhouse gas and NOx emissions, create over 63,000 net jobs by 2035, and generate $487.7 billion in cumulative net societal benefits by 2050. It highlights that the EPA's baseline underestimates ZEV adoption, thereby overestimating the relative impact of NOx standards. The report projects that average Class 4-8 ZEVs will reach total cost of ownership parity with internal combustion engines by model year 2030, with significant lifetime savings by 2040.

• The EPA's baseline trajectory underestimates ZEV adoption, which leads to an overestimation of the impact of more stringent NOx emission standards. Specifically, NOx reductions under the EPA NOx Option 1 scenario are one-fifth lower when compared to the Enhanced Baseline than when compared to the EPA Baseline.
• The EPA NOx Option 1 scenario is projected to provide substantial public health benefits between 2020 and 2050, including the avoidance of more than 13,000 premature deaths and nearly 8 million health incidences, such as respiratory symptoms and lost workdays.
• Zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) for Class 4 through 8 are expected to reach parity in total cost of ownership by model year 2030. By model year 2040, ZEV owners are projected to save more than $27,000 over the vehicle's lifetime.
• A Federal ACT + NOx Omnibus policy would have positive macroeconomic effects, including a $10.1 billion increase in GDP and the creation of over 63,000 net jobs by 2035, with average annual compensation for new jobs near $100,000.
• If the EPA tightens GHG emission standards to account for ZEV sales, a Federal ACT + NOx Omnibus scenario could reduce GHG emissions by approximately one-third compared to the EPA Baseline, representing a social benefit of $161 billion.
• The Federal ACT + NOx Omnibus scenario is projected to yield the highest cumulative net societal benefits, totaling $487.7 billion by 2050. The Enhanced Baseline scenario is projected to yield $137.3 billion in cumulative net societal benefits over the same period.
• The transition to M/HD EV charging could lower electricity rates for residential and commercial customers. Under the Federal ACT + NOx Omnibus scenario, by 2050, average rates could decrease by as much as 1.26% ($0.0023/kWh in 2020$), saving the average household $25 and commercial customers $153 annually.
• Supporting the M/HD electric fleet under the Federal ACT + NOx Omnibus scenario would require significant infrastructure investment through 2050: $69.5 billion for depot-based charging (9.8 million ports) and $54.2 billion for public DCFC ports (over 294,000 ports).

APA

Robo, E., Seamonds, D., & Freeman, M. (2022). Federal Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-02/federal-clean-trucks-report.pdf

Chicago

Robo, Ellen, David Seamonds, and Miranda Freeman. Federal Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2022. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-02/federal-clean-trucks-report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Robo |first1=Ellen |last2=Seamonds |first2=David |last3=Freeman |first3=Miranda |title=Federal Clean Trucks Program |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=2022 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-02/federal-clean-trucks-report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{robo2022federal, author = {Robo, Ellen and Seamonds, David and Freeman, Miranda}, title = {{Federal Clean Trucks Program}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2022}, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2023-02/federal-clean-trucks-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }