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Unlocking the energy transition in Colombia: Strategies to reduce gas dependency

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Colombia faces a projected gas supply deficit starting in 2030, with a potential gap of 1.2 million GBtu by 2038. The report argues that this can be mitigated by reducing demand through a 14% increase in industrial energy efficiency and the electrification of residential cooking and water heating. Specifically, replacing 10% of gas stoves and 30% of water heaters could reduce 2030 demand by 21,545 GBtu, which is 1.5 times the projected deficit for that year. The authors recommend a planned exit from gas, including a national appliance replacement programme and the limitation of new fossil fuel infrastructure, to ensure energy security and a just transition.

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  • Colombia is projected to face a gas supply deficit starting in 2030, as domestic production and import capacity will be insufficient to meet demand. The deficit is estimated at 14,556 GBtu in 2030 and could grow to 1.2 million GBtu between 2030 and 2038. By 2034, the deficit could equal the combined total demand of the industrial and residential sectors.
  • Implementing energy efficiency measures in the industrial sector could reduce gas consumption by 14% (approximately 14,277 GBtu per year) by 2030. This reduction is possible through operational improvements in direct and indirect heat processes, such as heat recovery, insulation, and combustion optimisation.

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APA
Suárez, W., Rodas, J. F. P., Vásquez, M. P., & Valencia, V. (2025). Unlocking the energy transition in Colombia: Strategies to reduce gas dependency. Transforma. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/EN-Report-Unlocking-the-energy-transition-in-Colombia_Strategies-to-reduce-gas-dependency.pdf
Chicago
Suárez, Wilmar, Juan Felipe Parra Rodas, María Paulina Vásquez, and Verónica Valencia. Unlocking the energy transition in Colombia: Strategies to reduce gas dependency. Transforma, 2025. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/EN-Report-Unlocking-the-energy-transition-in-Colombia_Strategies-to-reduce-gas-dependency.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Suárez |first1=Wilmar |last2=Rodas |first2=Juan Felipe Parra |last3=Vásquez |first3=María Paulina |last4=Valencia |first4=Verónica |title=Unlocking the energy transition in Colombia: Strategies to reduce gas dependency |publisher=Transforma |date=4 December 2025 |url=https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/EN-Report-Unlocking-the-energy-transition-in-Colombia_Strategies-to-reduce-gas-dependency.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{surez2025unlocking, author = {Suárez, Wilmar and Rodas, Juan Felipe Parra and Vásquez, María Paulina and Valencia, Verónica}, title = {{Unlocking the energy transition in Colombia: Strategies to reduce gas dependency}}, institution = {Transforma}, year = {2025}, month = dec, url = {https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/EN-Report-Unlocking-the-energy-transition-in-Colombia_Strategies-to-reduce-gas-dependency.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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