Ambición en la década crítica: Guía para el fortalecimiento de las NDC

This guide by Transforma provides a comprehensive framework for strengthening Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to be submitted by 2025. It outlines a 'decalogue of ambition' requiring emissions reductions of 43% by 2030 and 60% by 2035 (relative to 2019) to limit warming to 1.5°C. Key recommendations include sectoral targets for energy, transport, and industry, a phase-out of fossil fuels, the protection of 30% of global ecosystems by 2030, and the establishment of national loss and damage monitoring systems by 2030.

• To align with the goal of limiting temperature increase to 1.5°C and reaching net zero CO2 emissions by 2050 and all greenhouse gases (GHG) by 2070, NDCs should contribute to global emission reductions of at least 43% by 2030 and 60% by 2035, relative to 2019 levels.
• The guide recommends specific emission peaking and stabilization timelines: developed countries should aim to peak emissions in 2025 or as close to that year as possible, while developing countries should commit to stabilizing emissions from 2025 and beginning reductions by 2030.
• NDCs should include comprehensive sectoral targets. Key recommendations include reducing annual CO2 emission intensity in cement and steel by 4% by 2030, reducing transport emissions by 3% annually by 2030, and ensuring 100% of light commercial vehicle sales are zero-emission by 2035 in major global markets and 2040 worldwide.
• The guide emphasizes a transition away from fossil fuels, suggesting NDCs include firm signals such as specific dates to stop oil and gas exploration projects, the phase-out of coal-based power plants, and limited use of fossil gas in hard-to-abate sectors.
• Nature-based actions are critical, with the guide calling for national targets to stop and reverse deforestation and forest degradation by 2030 at the latest, and a goal to conserve 30% of land, freshwater, and ocean areas by 2030 in line with the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework.
• Adaptation and loss and damage components should be based on the latest climate scenarios and vulnerability assessments. The guide recommends establishing national systems for collecting and monitoring loss and damage information by 2030 and implementing early warning systems for multiple hazards by 2027.
• Implementation means must be clearly defined. Developed countries are urged to provide clear commitments on resource mobilization for developing countries. Developing countries should present investment plans, carbon pricing instruments, and a diagnosis of technological needs.

APA

Patiño, D. C. B., Carbajal, A. L., & Fernández, E. F. (2024). Ambición en la década crítica: Guía para el fortalecimiento de las NDC. Transforma. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/241105-Guia-para-el-fortalecimiento-de-las-NDC.pdf

Chicago

Patiño, Diana Carolina Barba, Alejandra López Carbajal, and Edgar Fernández Fernández. Ambición en la década crítica: Guía para el fortalecimiento de las NDC. Transforma, 2024. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/241105-Guia-para-el-fortalecimiento-de-las-NDC.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Patiño |first1=Diana Carolina Barba |last2=Carbajal |first2=Alejandra López |last3=Fernández |first3=Edgar Fernández |title=Ambición en la década crítica: Guía para el fortalecimiento de las NDC |publisher=Transforma |date=October 2024 |url=https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/241105-Guia-para-el-fortalecimiento-de-las-NDC.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{patio2024ambicin, author = {Patiño, Diana Carolina Barba and Carbajal, Alejandra López and Fernández, Edgar Fernández}, title = {{Ambición en la década crítica: Guía para el fortalecimiento de las NDC}}, institution = {Transforma}, year = {2024}, month = oct, url = {https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/241105-Guia-para-el-fortalecimiento-de-las-NDC.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }