Climate Change Mitigation Consultancy Final Report

The report uses the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) system to model Jamaica's GHG emissions and assess various mitigation actions across energy, waste, and agriculture sectors. It finds that while baseline emissions are projected to increase by 58% by 2055, significant low-cost abatement is possible, potentially allowing Jamaica to exceed its NDC targets without additional direct social costs. The analysis also highlights gender-differentiated impacts and identifies financial and technical capacity needs, particularly in domestic mitigation modeling and renewable energy implementation.

• Baseline projections indicate that Jamaica's total GHG emissions will increase by 13% between 2017 and 2030 and by 58% between 2017 and 2055.
• The analysis identifies substantial low-cost mitigation potential, suggesting that Jamaica could achieve emission reductions significantly beyond its Conditional Nationally Determined Contribution (CNDC) targets at no additional direct social cost.
• Non-energy mitigation, specifically Landfill Gas (LFG) Power and Animal Waste Digestion Power, offers over 60 MtCO2e of abatement potential between 2017 and 2055, with over 90% of these reductions coming from non-energy sources.
• Several mitigation actions provide net social cost savings over the long term (2017-2055), including utility-scale wind, solar PV, and run-of-river hydropower, although some like B20 blending and reduced water distribution losses only become cost-effective over longer time horizons.
• Mitigation actions have varied gender-differentiated impacts; for example, natural gas buses and smart LED street lighting may improve safety and mobility for women, while solar water heaters could displace income for women relying on charcoal production.
• Transitioning from the Unconditional NDC (UNDC) to the Conditional NDC (CNDC) pathway may require short-term international financial support of approximately 120 million USD in net present value terms.
• There is a critical need for technical capacity development in domestic mitigation modeling to reduce reliance on international consultants and allow for more responsive national projections.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2017). Climate Change Mitigation Consultancy Final Report. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/jamaica-mitigation-consultancy-final-report.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Climate Change Mitigation Consultancy Final Report. 2017. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/jamaica-mitigation-consultancy-final-report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Climate Change Mitigation Consultancy Final Report |date=November 2017 |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/jamaica-mitigation-consultancy-final-report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2017climate, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Climate Change Mitigation Consultancy Final Report}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2017}, month = nov, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/jamaica-mitigation-consultancy-final-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }