Nordic Green to Scale for countries

Scaling up 10 existing climate solutions in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Ukraine could reduce 2030 emissions by approximately 149 Mt (CO2e), representing a 13% reduction compared to baseline projections. The most significant absolute reductions are possible in Poland (71 Mt) and Ukraine (64 Mt), while the highest relative impacts are in the Baltic States, potentially cutting emissions by nearly 40% in Estonia and over 30% in Latvia and Lithuania. Energy efficiency in buildings and industry offers the highest potential and is the most cost-effective, with building efficiency alone potentially saving 2.9 billion euros by 2030. Conversely, wind power provides the greatest relative potential in the Baltic States. The report identifies common barriers such as high investment costs, weak carbon pricing, and lack of financing, and recommends policies including the phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies, stable legal frameworks, and targeted financial incentives.

• Scaling up 10 selected climate solutions could reduce 2030 emissions in the five target countries by approximately 149 Mt (CO2e), which is 13% of their projected emissions for that year.
• Energy efficiency in buildings and industry provides the highest absolute emission reduction potential, with buildings contributing 53 Mt and industry 25 Mt.
• Wind power offers the most significant relative potential for the Baltic States, with the capacity to reduce emissions by nearly 15% in 2030.
• The relative impact of these solutions is highest in the Baltic States, potentially reducing 2030 emissions by 38% in Estonia and 34% in both Latvia and Lithuania.
• Implementing these solutions could result in a net saving of up to 1.2 billion euros for the five countries by 2030, driven largely by energy efficiency in buildings, which could save 2.9 billion euros.
• The most expensive solutions to scale up are bioenergy for heating (€1 billion), wind power (€500 million), and solar power (€400 million).
• Unit abatement costs vary significantly, with energy efficiency in buildings being the most cost-effective at -54 euros per tonne of CO2, while electric vehicles are the most expensive at 104 euros per tonne.
• Common barriers to implementation include high investment costs, lack of financing, weak carbon pricing, and outdated infrastructure such as fossil fuel subsidies.
• The report recommends several cross-cutting policies to enable these solutions, including phasing out fossil fuel subsidies, setting ambitious targets, and ensuring stable legal frameworks.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2018). Nordic Green to Scale for countries. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/green-to-scale-to-countries-report.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Nordic Green to Scale for countries. 2018. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/green-to-scale-to-countries-report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Nordic Green to Scale for countries |date=2018 |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/green-to-scale-to-countries-report.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2018nordic, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Nordic Green to Scale for countries}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2018}, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/green-to-scale-to-countries-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }