CONTRIBUTION DÉTERMINÉE AU NIVEAU NATIONAL RÉVISÉE
Summary
The revised Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) of Mali outlines the country's updated commitments to the Paris Agreement for the 2020-2030 period. Mali aims to maintain its status as a carbon sink while increasing its mitigation ambitions across four sectors: energy, agriculture, forestry and land-use change, and waste. The document details specific emission reduction targets, adaptation strategies to combat desertification and food insecurity, and a comprehensive financing and monitoring framework, with a strong emphasis on gender integration and the involvement of non-state actors.
Key insights
- Mali has increased its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction ambitions for 2030 compared to its business-as-usual (BAU) scenario. The targets are 31% for the energy sector, 25% for agriculture, 39% for forests and land-use change, and 31% for waste. Overall, the synthesis of emissions and sequestrations for 2030 indicates a total reduction of 40%.
- Mali is characterized as a carbon sink and is expected to remain one beyond 2030. Under the mitigation scenario, the global net balance of emissions for the four sectors is projected to be -296,483 kt CO2 equivalent in 2030, compared to -211,864 kt CO2 equivalent in the BAU scenario.
- The energy sector is a major emitter, with CO2 representing 83% of its total emissions. Mitigation efforts focus on increasing renewable energy in the mix, improving energy efficiency, and promoting substitutes for biomass energy. The estimated cost for energy sector mitigation from 2020 to 2030 is 1,518 billion FCFA (approximately 3.036 billion USD).
- Agriculture and livestock are critical to Mali's economy, employing about 80% of the active population, but are highly vulnerable to climate change. Mitigation measures include promoting the System of Rice Intensification (SRI), using organic fertilizer, and banning the burning of crop residues. The total cost for mitigation in the agriculture and livestock sector is 315.6 million USD.
- The forestry sector is the primary component for carbon sequestration. Mali plans to implement REDD+ programs to achieve 1,540,000 hectares of restored or protected land by 2030. This includes 200,000 hectares of Acacia Senegal and other fruit trees, 340,000 hectares of reforestation, and 1,000,000 hectares of managed natural forests. The total cost for forestry mitigation is 709 million USD.
- Waste management in Mali suffers from a lack of infrastructure, leading to illegal dumping. The NDC adds waste as a fourth sector, aiming for a 31% reduction in emissions by 2030 compared to the BAU scenario. Key projects include waste-to-energy units and plastic recycling in Bamako. The cost for waste sector mitigation is 283.2 million USD.
- Mali's adaptation strategy prioritizes a green and resilient economy. Key goals include reforesting 325,000 hectares, developing climate-smart agriculture for 92,000 hectares, and creating 21 pastoral areas covering 400,000 hectares. The total estimated cost for adaptation is 8 billion USD.
- The NDC emphasizes gender integration, recognizing that women are essential agents for climate action but are disproportionately affected by climate impacts. The plan includes revising sectoral policies to include sex-disaggregated data and adopting gender-sensitive budgeting.
- Mali is integrating short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) into its reduction efforts. Implementing 15 identified mitigation measures could reduce black carbon emissions by 42%, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) by 45%, and nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 21% by 2030.
- The total financing required for the four mitigation scenarios is estimated at 4.344 billion USD. Mali's strategy to mobilize these funds involves developing a project portfolio, increasing the number of direct access entities for international funding, and improving internal co-financing through the state's special investment budget.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Stockholm Environment Institute (n.d.). CONTRIBUTION DÉTERMINÉE AU NIVEAU NATIONAL RÉVISÉE. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5215.pdf
- Chicago
- Stockholm Environment Institute. CONTRIBUTION DÉTERMINÉE AU NIVEAU NATIONAL RÉVISÉE. n.d. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5215.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=CONTRIBUTION DÉTERMINÉE AU NIVEAU NATIONAL RÉVISÉE |url=https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5215.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitutendcontribution, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{CONTRIBUTION DÉTERMINÉE AU NIVEAU NATIONAL RÉVISÉE}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, url = {https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5215.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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