2050 Long-term Emission Reduction and Climate Resilient Strategy for Jamaica
Summary
Jamaica's 2050 Long-term Strategy aims for a 73% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 (relative to 2020) and net-zero emissions by 2060. The plan focuses on transitioning the electricity sector to 100% renewable energy by 2050, electrifying transport, improving building efficiency, and enhancing forestry and agricultural carbon sinks. The strategy estimates total costs of USD 6 billion (USD 5bn for mitigation, USD 1bn for adaptation) and emphasizes a just transition for workers and gender-responsive implementation.
Key insights
- Jamaica aims to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 73% below 2020 levels (which were 7.25 MtCO2e) by the year 2050, with a further goal to achieve net zero emissions by 2060.
- The electricity sector has specific renewable energy generation targets: 27% by 2025, 50% by 2030, at least 65% by 2035, at least 90% by 2040, at least 95% by 2045, and 100% by 2050.
- Jamaica plans to phase out fossil fuel generation in the electricity sector by 2040, including a full phase-out of 100% Heavy Fuel Oil capacity by 2035.
- Transport sector milestones include achieving a 12% share of electric private vehicles and a 16% share of electric public vehicles by 2030, increasing the passenger fleet's electric vehicle share to at least 67% by 2050, and deploying at least 2,000 electric buses by 2040.
- Building sector targets for 2030 include replacing 100% of electric lighting in residential buildings with LED lamps and converting 100% of schools and hospitals from T12 to T8 LED technology lamps.
- In the forestry sector, Jamaica aims to increase forest cover by 5% relative to 2020 levels by 2030, and by 2050, maintain 'No-net-loss' forest cover plus an additional 3% of land covered by forest compared to 2020 levels, while increasing mangrove cover by 4,000 ha.
- Agricultural targets for 2030 include reducing livestock emissions by 14% and ruminant animal methane emissions by 20% through improved management relative to 2020 levels.
- The estimated cost for implementing the Long-term Strategy (LTS) between 2023 and 2050 is USD 5 billion for mitigation actions and USD 1 billion for adaptation costs.
- Jamaica identifies critical areas for adaptation, including sustainable tourism, vulnerable human settlements, critical infrastructure (water, transport, energy), climate-resilient crops, vulnerable ecosystems, coastal areas, and health sector capacity.
- The strategy acknowledges unavoidable Loss and Damage (L&D), prioritizing critical infrastructure, human settlements, the agricultural sector, food security, and cultural heritage.
- The strategy emphasizes a 'just transition' for the labour force, particularly those in fossil fuel-dependent industries, through stakeholder engagement and social dialogue to ensure decent employment and skill development.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Stockholm Environment Institute (2023). 2050 Long-term Emission Reduction and Climate Resilient Strategy for Jamaica. https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5169.pdf
- Chicago
- Stockholm Environment Institute. 2050 Long-term Emission Reduction and Climate Resilient Strategy for Jamaica. 2023. https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5169.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=2050 Long-term Emission Reduction and Climate Resilient Strategy for Jamaica |date=November 2023 |url=https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5169.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute20232050, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{2050 Long-term Emission Reduction and Climate Resilient Strategy for Jamaica}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2023}, month = nov, url = {https://leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5169.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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