Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0)

Belize's NDC 3.0 sets a target to avoid cumulative greenhouse gas emissions of 6,234 kTonCO2e by 2035 compared to a business-as-usual scenario. The plan focuses on scaling renewable energy, enhancing carbon sequestration in the AFOLU sector, and improving climate resilience across coastal, health, and infrastructure sectors. Implementation is heavily dependent on international climate finance, with an estimated total cost of 1.55 billion USD and a funding gap of 85%.

• Belize aims to avoid cumulative greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of 6,234 kTonCO2e by 2035 relative to a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, which is an increase from the 5,647 kTonCO2e target set for 2030 in the previous NDC.
• In the energy sector, Belize targets cumulative emission avoidance of 453 kTCO2e by 2030 and 1,103 kTCO2e by 2035. This includes installing 100 MW of utility-scale solar power and 20 MW of onshore wind power by 2035, and increasing electric vehicle adoption to 10% for private and 25% for public transport.
• The Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector is expected to increase its cumulative carbon sequestration potential from 2,555 kTCO2e in 2030 to 5,110 kTCO2e in 2035 from 2020 BAU levels.
• The waste sector targets cumulative emission avoidance of 8.5 kTCO2e by 2030 and 21 kTCO2e by 2035, focusing on improving waste management coverage and increasing recycling at the source.
• Total capital expenditure for the NDC 3.0 is estimated at approximately 1.55 billion USD over the next decade, with a total financing gap of 85% (approximately 1.32 billion USD).
• Adaptation efforts are prioritized across several sectors, including expanding biodiversity protection zones to 30% of Belize's ocean by 2030 and retrofitting key hospitals and clinics to be resilient to extreme-weather events by 2035.
• Belize is integrating a Gender Equality, Disability and Social Inclusion (GEDSI) approach, including targets to increase women's representation at COPs and subsidiary body meetings by at least 50% by 2027.
• The document identifies significant loss and damage risks, proposing interventions such as the development of a coastal erosion monitoring programme and the creation of a relief fund for the fisheries sector.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2025). Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0). https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0). 2025. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0) |date=June 2025 |url=https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2025belizes, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0)}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2025}, month = jun, url = {https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }