Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0)

Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0), published in June 2025, outlines the country's enhanced climate commitments to align with its goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. The document sets quantified targets for cumulative avoided greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 and 2035 across the energy, waste, and AFOLU sectors, while detailing extensive adaptation strategies for coastal zones, fisheries, health, and tourism. A significant portion of these ambitions is conditional upon international climate finance, with a total estimated funding gap of 85% of the required 1.55 billion USD.

• Belize aims to avoid cumulative greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of 6,234 kTonCO₂e by 2035 compared to a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, which is an increase from the 5,647 kTonCO₂e targeted by 2030 in the previous NDC.
• In the energy sector, Belize targets cumulative emission avoidance of 453 kTCO₂e by 2030 and 1,103 kTCO₂e by 2035. To achieve this, the country plans to install 100 MW of utility-scale solar power and 20 MW of onshore wind power by 2035, and increase electric vehicle adoption to 10% for private and 25% for public transport.
• The Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector is expected to increase its cumulative carbon sequestration potential from 2,555 kTCO₂e in 2030 to 5,110 kTCO₂e in 2035 relative to 2020 BAU levels.
• The waste sector targets cumulative emission avoidance of 8.5 kTCO₂e by 2030 and 21 kTCO₂e by 2035, with all activities in this sector being conditional on international support.
• The total estimated capital expenditure for the NDC 3.0 over the next decade is approximately 1.55 billion USD. This is split into 609 million USD for Energy and Waste, 412 million USD for AFOLU, and 534 million USD for other adaptation efforts.
• There is a substantial financing gap for the implementation of NDC 3.0, estimated at 85% of the total costs, amounting to 1.32 billion USD of the 1.55 billion USD required.
• Belize's adaptation strategy includes expanding biodiversity protection zones to 30% of its ocean by 2030 and implementing a National Adaptation Plan for the Coastal Zone and Fisheries Sector (2024-2034).
• The document emphasizes Gender Equality, Disability and Social Inclusion (GEDSI), committing to specific actions such as increasing women's representation at COPs and subsidiary body meetings by at least 50% by 2027.
• Belize is developing a National Loss and Damage Framework to quantify irremediable losses and identify priority areas, including proposed interventions like crop insurance for all farmers and coastal erosion monitoring.
• The country's long-term objective is to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, as detailed in the Long-Term Low-Emissions Development Strategy (LT-LEDS).

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2025). Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0). https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0). 2025. https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0) |date=June 2025 |url=https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2025belizes, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Belize’s Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0)}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2025}, month = jun, url = {https://cdn.leap.sei.org/pubattachments/5128.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }