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The 2010 Sustainable Transport Report, published by the Stockholm Environment Institute on behalf of the Sustainable Development Commission, analyzes transport and mobility trends in Estonia. It concludes that current trends are unsustainable, characterized by rapid growth in car use and road freight that outpaces economic growth, leading to increased energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The report proposes three scenarios for 2010–2020: a baseline (BAAS) scenario continuing current trends, a technology-focused (TEHNO) scenario emphasizing vehicle efficiency, and an effect-focused (EFEKT) scenario prioritizing mobility management and sustainable transport modes. It recommends integrating fiscal measures, such as CO2-based vehicle taxes, with systemic urban planning and investments in public transport and active mobility to meet EU climate targets.

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  • Estonia's economic growth has been highly transport-intensive, with car use growing at the same rate as the economy and road freight growing even faster than GDP. This has led to a continuous decline in the share of sustainable transport modes.
  • The transport sector accounts for approximately 24% of Estonia's final energy consumption, with 94% of that energy demand coming from cars and trucks. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from transport have grown rapidly, increasing by nearly 40% between 1999 and 2008.
  • Estonia's new car fleet is among the least fuel-efficient in the European Union. In 2009, the average CO2 emissions for new cars in Estonia were 170 g/km, compared to the EU-27 average of 146 g/km. Over half (51%) of new cars fall into energy classes E–G, which are similar in fuel consumption to best-selling cars from 15 years prior.
  • The external costs of land transport in Estonia were estimated at 6.917 billion kroons in 2007. Traffic accidents (1.782 billion kr), air pollution (1.663 billion kr), and noise (1.253 billion kr) are the primary cost drivers. Two-thirds of these external costs occur in urban areas.
  • Road safety has improved significantly, with fatalities dropping from 196 in 2007 to 100 in 2009, moving Estonia from the bottom three EU countries to the EU average. However, urban traffic and the safety of active travelers remain areas for improvement.
  • The BAAS (baseline) scenario predicts that if current trends continue, transport energy demand and GHG emissions will increase by approximately one-third by 2020, exceeding the EU-mandated 11% growth limit for non-ETS sectors relative to 2005 levels.
  • The TEHNO scenario suggests that to meet the 11% GHG growth limit, the average CO2 emissions of the car fleet must improve by 3% annually, reaching 143 g/km by 2020. This would require aggressive fiscal measures, such as CO2-based registration and annual taxes.
  • The EFEKT scenario focuses on reducing the need for car travel, estimating that approximately 2 billion vehicle-kilometers (about 20% of total travel) would need to be shifted to sustainable modes to meet the 11% GHG limit.
  • Electric vehicles would only reduce GHG emissions in Estonia if powered by renewable energy; if powered by oil shale electricity, they would produce significantly more GHGs than most current internal combustion engine models.
  • The report recommends a shift in infrastructure planning to prioritize public transport and active mobility over road expansions. It suggests a decision-making hierarchy where new infrastructure is only considered after exploring options to reduce car dependency or optimize existing assets.

Cite the original document

APA
M., J., H., P., K., S., & H., O. (2010). SÄÄSTVA TRANSPORDI RAPORT. Stockholm Environment Institute. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4411.pdf
Chicago
M., Jüssi,, Poltimäe, H., Sarv, K., and Orru, H. SÄÄSTVA TRANSPORDI RAPORT. Stockholm Environment Institute, 2010. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4411.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=M. |first1=Jüssi, |last2=H. |first2=Poltimäe, |last3=K. |first3=Sarv, |last4=H. |first4=Orru, |title=SÄÄSTVA TRANSPORDI RAPORT |publisher=Stockholm Environment Institute |date=2010 |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4411.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{m2010sstva, author = {M., Jüssi, and H., Poltimäe, and K., Sarv, and H., Orru,}, title = {{SÄÄSTVA TRANSPORDI RAPORT}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2010}, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/4411.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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