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The report analyzes the rise of international disputes and geopolitical tensions, noting that state-based conflicts reached a historic high of 59 active conflicts in 2023. Utilizing Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, the document develops three plausible storylines to illustrate how the collapse of globalization, escalating rivalries, and the decline of multilateral institutions could reshape economic landscapes and international relations. These scenarios are intended to help policymakers address vulnerabilities in trade networks and food systems while enhancing resilience against climate risks.

Key insights

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  • State-based conflicts reached their highest level since 1946 in 2023, with a total of 59 active conflicts.
  • The report utilizes Shared Socioeconomic Pathways to create three storylines exploring how the decline of multilateral institutions, the collapse of globalization, and escalating rivalries might alter international relations and economic landscapes.
  • The developed scenarios are designed to assist policymakers in prioritizing strategies to improve resilience against climate risks and addressing vulnerabilities within trade networks and food systems.

Cite the original document

APA
Stockholm Environment Institute (2025). Navigating a Changing World Order. https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/
Chicago
Stockholm Environment Institute. Navigating a Changing World Order. 2025. https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Navigating a Changing World Order |date=31 January 2025 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2025navigating, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Navigating a Changing World Order}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2025}, month = jan, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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