Navigating a Changing World Order

This report by the Stockholm Environment Institute examines the trajectories of geopolitical and geoeconomic fragmentation through 2050, specifically analyzing how these trends affect global trade, supply chains, and food security.

• State-based conflicts reached a historic peak in 2023, with 59 active conflicts, the highest number since 1946.
• The report utilizes the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways to develop three plausible storylines regarding geopolitical and geoeconomic fragmentation up to 2050, focusing on the collapse of globalization, the decline of multilateral institutions, and escalating rivalries.
• The scenarios are intended to help policymakers identify vulnerabilities in trade networks and food systems and improve resilience against climate risks and fragmentation.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2025). Navigating a Changing World Order. https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Navigating a Changing World Order. 2025. https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Navigating a Changing World Order |date=31 January 2025 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2025navigating, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Navigating a Changing World Order}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2025}, month = jan, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/navigating-a-changing-world-order/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }