Robust decision-making under uncertainty for a moorland ecosystems water resources management under scenarios of climate variability

The study implements a climate-informed water resources decision-making framework in Piura, Peru, combining the XLRM assessment framework with the Water Evaluation And Planning (WEAP) system. By integrating participatory workshops with hydrological modeling, the research identifies system-level vulnerabilities in moorland base flows caused by climate variability and a reduction in moorland area over a 50-year simulation. These vulnerabilities directly impact water availability for downstream rural and agricultural users who depend on a reservoir.

• The study utilized a combined approach using the XLRM assessment framework (covering eXogenous uncertainties, policy Levers, Relationships, and Measures) and the Water Evaluation And Planning (WEAP) system to model the hydrological response of the moorland ecosystem and support decision-making under climate change and other stresses.
• Simulation results over a 50-year period indicate that moorland ecosystem base flows are vulnerable due to climate variability and a decrease in the total area of the moorlands.
• The identified system-level vulnerability in the moorlands significantly reduces the water supply available for downstream users, specifically agricultural and rural users who rely solely on a reservoir.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2013). Robust decision-making under uncertainty for a moorland ecosystems water resources management under scenarios of climate variability. https://www.sei.org/publications/robust-decision-making-under-uncertainty-for-a-moorland-ecosystems-water-resources-management-under-scenarios-of-climate-variability/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Robust decision-making under uncertainty for a moorland ecosystems water resources management under scenarios of climate variability. 2013. https://www.sei.org/publications/robust-decision-making-under-uncertainty-for-a-moorland-ecosystems-water-resources-management-under-scenarios-of-climate-variability/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Robust decision-making under uncertainty for a moorland ecosystems water resources management under scenarios of climate variability |date=20 December 2013 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/robust-decision-making-under-uncertainty-for-a-moorland-ecosystems-water-resources-management-under-scenarios-of-climate-variability/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2013robust, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Robust decision-making under uncertainty for a moorland ecosystems water resources management under scenarios of climate variability}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2013}, month = dec, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/robust-decision-making-under-uncertainty-for-a-moorland-ecosystems-water-resources-management-under-scenarios-of-climate-variability/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }