To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?

The research finds that land resource managers in Scotland do not directly account for high-end climate change (HECC) scenarios—defined as global temperature increases over 4°C—because they perceive these outcomes as having a low probability of occurrence. Instead, decision-makers prioritise incremental solutions driven by non-climate factors, which are often as or more important than climate change. While general climate uncertainty is not seen as a barrier, there is a stated need for more information regarding specific sectoral and cross-sectoral impacts under HECC scenarios.

• Decision-makers do not integrate high-end climate change (HECC) scenarios—defined as global annual temperature increases exceeding 4°C—into their current adaptation actions because they view such scenarios as unlikely.
• Adaptation strategies currently favour incremental changes over transformative ones, with non-climate drivers frequently playing a role equal to or greater than climate change in the decision-making process.
• While stakeholders do not consider climate information uncertainty a major obstacle to decision-making, they express a need for more detailed data on how HECC scenarios specifically impact different sectors and cross-sectoral areas.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2017). To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland? https://www.sei.org/publications/to-what-extent-are-land-resource-managers-preparing-for-high-end-climate-change-in-scotland/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland? 2017. https://www.sei.org/publications/to-what-extent-are-land-resource-managers-preparing-for-high-end-climate-change-in-scotland/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland? |date=6 February 2017 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/to-what-extent-are-land-resource-managers-preparing-for-high-end-climate-change-in-scotland/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2017what, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2017}, month = feb, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/to-what-extent-are-land-resource-managers-preparing-for-high-end-climate-change-in-scotland/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }