Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis

This research paper analyzes six models to determine how Mexico can achieve its GHG emission reduction targets of 30% by 2020 and 50% by 2050. The models indicate that while decarbonizing electricity and improving transport efficiency are essential, the specific energy pathways (renewables, biomass, or CCS) vary, with projected GDP costs reaching up to 15% by 2050.

• Mexico has established national greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets of 30% compared to a business-as-usual baseline by 2020, and 50% compared to 2000 levels by 2050, though these targets conflict with recent trends of substantial growth in energy use and GHG emissions over the previous two decades.
• Six models from the CLIMACAP-LAMP project agree that achieving Mexico's emission targets requires the decarbonization of electricity and modifications to the transport sector, specifically through more efficient vehicles or a mix of efficient vehicles and lower carbon fuels, which would also lower other air pollutants.
• Proposed energy supply pathways vary between renewable energy, biomass, or fossil fuels with carbon capture and storage. The estimated economy-wide costs for deep mitigation are between 2% and 4% of GDP in 2030, increasing to between 7% and 15% of GDP by 2050.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2015). Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis. https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis. 2015. https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis |date=13 July 2015 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2015pathways, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2015}, month = jul, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }