Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis

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The document analyzes six models to determine how Mexico can meet its GHG emission reduction targets of 30% by 2020 (vs business-as-usual) and 50% by 2050 (vs 2000). While current energy and emission trends contradict these goals, the models suggest that targets are achievable through electricity decarbonization and transport sector improvements, though costs could reach 15% of GDP by 2050.

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  • Mexico's national greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets are 30% compared to a business-as-usual baseline by 2020 and 50% compared to 2000 levels by 2050, though these targets conflict with recent increases in energy use and GHG emissions.
  • All six modeling groups agree that achieving emission targets requires the decarbonization of electricity and changes in the transport sector, specifically through more efficient vehicles or a mix of efficient vehicles and lower carbon fuels.
  • The estimated economy-wide costs for deep mitigation are projected to be between 2% and 4% of GDP in 2030, increasing to between 7% and 15% of GDP by 2050.

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APA
Stockholm Environment Institute (2015). Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis. https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/
Chicago
Stockholm Environment Institute. Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis. 2015. https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis |date=13 July 2015 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2015pathways, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Pathways to Mexico's climate change mitigation targets: a multi-model analysis}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2015}, month = jul, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/pathways-to-mexicos-climate-change-mitigation-targets-a-multi-model-analysis/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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