Burundi: can newly-elected president Ndayishimiye deliver change?

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The document examines the 2020 Burundian election, which saw Evariste Ndayishimiye win with 68% of the vote despite allegations of fraud from the opposition and the Catholic Church. It highlights the president's need to balance internal CNDD-FDD party factions, specifically between the military generals who supported him and his predecessor, Pierre Nkurunziza. The author notes severe national crises, including a 74% poverty rate, massive displacement of people, and a destroyed professional middle class. The text argues that the African Union should engage with the new administration to encourage the restoration of civil society and media freedoms.

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  • The 2020 election results gave CNDD-FDD candidate Evariste Ndayishimiye 68% of the vote, while rival Agathon Rwasa received 24%, with a reported turnout of 90%. However, the results are contested by Rwasa and the Catholic Church, the latter of which claims its sample of observers at roughly 20% of polling stations is enough to doubt the outcome.
  • President Ndayishimiye faces a difficult internal political balancing act between the military generals who supported his candidacy and his predecessor, Pierre Nkurunziza, who remains influential as the Supreme Guide of Patriotism.
  • Burundi suffers from extreme socio-economic distress, characterized by a 74% poverty level, making it the third poorest country globally. Additionally, over 350,000 people have fled to neighboring countries and 110,000 are internally displaced.
  • The CNDD-FDD government has maintained a hostile relationship with international bodies, including the UN, African Union, and EAC, and has specifically expelled four senior World Health Organisation officials for criticizing its COVID-19 response.
  • The ruling party utilizes the Imbonerakure youth militia to threaten violent reprisals against critics of the government to maintain control.

Cite the original document

APA
South African Institute of International Affairs (2020). Burundi: can newly-elected president Ndayishimiye deliver change? https://saiia.org.za/research/burundi-can-newly-elected-president-ndayishimiye-deliver-change/
Chicago
South African Institute of International Affairs. Burundi: can newly-elected president Ndayishimiye deliver change? 2020. https://saiia.org.za/research/burundi-can-newly-elected-president-ndayishimiye-deliver-change/.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=South African Institute of International Affairs |title=Burundi: can newly-elected president Ndayishimiye deliver change? |date=3 June 2020 |url=https://saiia.org.za/research/burundi-can-newly-elected-president-ndayishimiye-deliver-change/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{southafricaninstituteofinternationalaffairs2020burundi, author = {{South African Institute of International Affairs}}, title = {{Burundi: can newly-elected president Ndayishimiye deliver change?}}, institution = {South African Institute of International Affairs}, year = {2020}, month = jun, url = {https://saiia.org.za/research/burundi-can-newly-elected-president-ndayishimiye-deliver-change/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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