Decarbonisation Scenarios for the Transport Sector in Georgia

The report analyzes emission projections for Georgia's transport sector up to 2030, comparing a business-as-usual scenario with a Climate Strategy and Action Plan (CSAP) scenario and Paris Agreement-compatible pathways. It highlights the significant role of freight and passenger transport in national emissions and recommends the establishment of a permanent coordinated planning process, improved data collection, and the pursuit of international climate finance for high-potential mitigation measures.

• In 2015, the transport sector accounted for approximately 24% of Georgia's total national emissions, totaling 4.2 MtCO2e.
• Under a business-as-usual reference scenario, transport sector emissions are projected to rise by 71% to 7.1 MtCO2e by 2030, driven largely by freight transport emissions more than doubling due to increased commercial activity.
• Implementation of the Climate Strategy and Action Plan (CSAP) is projected to limit the sector's emission increase to 34% (5.6 MtCO2e) by 2030, reversing the trend for passenger transport to a 7% absolute decrease between 2015 and 2030.
• The CSAP scenario involves significant modal shifts by 2030, including a 14.8% drop in the modal share for light duty vehicles (LDVs), while the share for buses nearly doubles, and shares for rail and marshutkas increase by 2.5% and 4.3% respectively.
• The report recommends establishing a permanent coordinated planning process and a potentially centralized institution to align transport policies and data across national and municipal governments.

APA

NewClimate Institute (2021). Decarbonisation Scenarios for the Transport Sector in Georgia. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/decarbonisation-scenarios-for-the-transport-sector-in-georgia

Chicago

NewClimate Institute. Decarbonisation Scenarios for the Transport Sector in Georgia. 2021. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/decarbonisation-scenarios-for-the-transport-sector-in-georgia.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Decarbonisation Scenarios for the Transport Sector in Georgia |date=25 January 2021 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/decarbonisation-scenarios-for-the-transport-sector-in-georgia |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{newclimateinstitute2021decarbonisation, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Decarbonisation Scenarios for the Transport Sector in Georgia}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2021}, month = jan, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/decarbonisation-scenarios-for-the-transport-sector-in-georgia}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }