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The paper estimates the CER supply potential for 2013-2020 at 4.7 billion CERs, noting that 82% comes from projects not vulnerable to discontinuing greenhouse gas abatement. This figure is significantly lower than the 7.7 G t CO2 e estimated in project design documents, with hydro and wind power projects providing the largest share (61%) of the potential.

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  • The estimated CER supply potential for the period 2013 to 2020 is approximately 4.7 billion CERs. This is significantly lower than the ex-ante emission reduction estimates of 7.7 G t CO2 e found in project design documents for the same timeframe.
  • The majority of the CER supply potential (82%) is derived from projects that are not considered vulnerable to discontinuing greenhouse gas abatement. Only 4% comes from projects deemed vulnerable that can still issue CERs, while 13% have variable vulnerability and 2% were not assessed.
  • Hydro and wind power projects are the primary contributors to the CER supply potential, accounting for 61%. In contrast, industrial gas projects contribute 8%, a decrease from the first commitment period when they represented 52% of issued CERs, and Programmes of activities (PoAs) account for 3%.

Cite the original document

APA
Schneider, L., & Theuer, S. L. H. (2017). CDM supply potential up to 2020. NewClimate Institute. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/discussion-paper-cdm-supply-potential-up-to-2020
Chicago
Schneider, Lambert, and Stephanie La Hoz Theuer. CDM supply potential up to 2020. NewClimate Institute, 2017. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/discussion-paper-cdm-supply-potential-up-to-2020.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Schneider |first1=Lambert |last2=Theuer |first2=Stephanie La Hoz |title=CDM supply potential up to 2020 |publisher=NewClimate Institute |date=10 August 2017 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/discussion-paper-cdm-supply-potential-up-to-2020 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{schneider2017cdm, author = {Schneider, Lambert and Theuer, Stephanie La Hoz}, title = {{CDM supply potential up to 2020}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2017}, month = aug, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/discussion-paper-cdm-supply-potential-up-to-2020}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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