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This report analyzes the unintended mitigation impact of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) in 2014, finding that depressed market conditions led to a net mitigation of 480 MtCO2e (roughly 1% of global emissions) as projects continued operating without issuing offsets. It further examines how different CER price recovery scenarios (EUR 2 vs EUR 5+) would affect the supply of credits and the gap between actual reductions and credit issuance.

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  • The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) produced an unintended and undesirable annual net mitigation impact of approximately 480 MtCO2e in 2014, which may have reduced global emissions by about 1% that year. This occurred because projects continued to operate mitigation equipment but stopped issuing offsets due to depressed market conditions.
  • The study analyzed the price elasticity of market recovery for Certified Emission Reductions (CER). A price recovery to EUR 2 would result in only a modest increase in supply. A CER price of EUR 5 would reduce the unintended net mitigation impact by more than 50% compared to the EUR 2 scenario, though this would require non-market interventions or substantial demand increases. Prices exceeding EUR 5 could restore market confidence by narrowing the gap between actual emission reductions and the volume of credits issued.

Cite the original document

APA
NewClimate Institute (2015). Impacts of the Clean Development Mechanism. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/impacts-of-the-clean-development-mechanism
Chicago
NewClimate Institute. Impacts of the Clean Development Mechanism. 2015. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/impacts-of-the-clean-development-mechanism.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Impacts of the Clean Development Mechanism |date=30 November 2015 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/impacts-of-the-clean-development-mechanism |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{newclimateinstitute2015impacts, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Impacts of the Clean Development Mechanism}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2015}, month = nov, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/impacts-of-the-clean-development-mechanism}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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