Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE)

This research paper uses the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE) to model decarbonisation scenarios for India's transport sector, which accounts for approximately 14% of the country's direct energy-related emissions. The analysis indicates that current trajectories are not Paris-aligned and that achieving net-zero targets by 2050 or 2070 requires a shift toward public electrified rail and significant annual public investment.

• India's transport sector is responsible for approximately 14% of the nation's direct energy-related emissions, and current trajectories are not aligned with a Paris-aligned just transition.
• The study modeled five scenarios using the TTPE tool, finding that while least-cost pathways reduce expenses, they fail to decarbonise the sector within Paris Agreement timeframes. Transition pathways targeting power sector decarbonisation by 2050 or 2070 show lower costs and emissions by shifting demand to public modes, specifically electrified rail.
• To align the transport sector with net-zero targets between 2050 and 2070, India requires estimated annual public investments of USD 164 billion (2020 USD) from 2023 to 2030, with a focus on electrified rail and buses.
• A transition focused on electrification and modal shifts is projected to reduce India's reliance on crude oil imports and generate economic growth through job creation and the domestic electric vehicle production industry.

APA

NewClimate Institute (2024). Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE). http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit

Chicago

NewClimate Institute. Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE). 2024. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE) |date=17 April 2024 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{newclimateinstitute2024modelling, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE)}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2024}, month = apr, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }