Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE)

The analysis indicates that India's current transport trajectory is not aligned with a Paris-aligned just transition. While baseline and least-cost pathways fail to meet decarbonisation goals, transition pathways focusing on shifting demand to public modes, specifically electrified rail, show promise for reducing emissions and costs. Achieving net-zero targets between 2050 and 2070 would require annual public investments of approximately USD 164 billion (2020 USD) from 2023 to 2030, primarily for electrified rail and bus infrastructure. Such a transition is projected to foster economic growth, create jobs in the electric vehicle industry, and reduce reliance on crude oil imports.

• India's current transport trajectory is not aligned with a Paris-aligned just transition; baseline pathways project significant emissions growth and higher costs, while least-cost pathways fail to decarbonise the sector within Paris Agreement timeframes.
• Transition pathways that assume power sector decarbonisation by 2050 or 2070 can lower costs and emissions by shifting transport demand toward public modes, especially electrified rail.
• To achieve net-zero targets between 2050 and 2070, India requires estimated annual public investments of USD 164 billion (in 2020 USD) between 2023 and 2030, with a focus on electrified rail and bus infrastructure.
• A transport transition focusing on electrification and modal shifts is expected to generate economic growth, create jobs in the domestic electric vehicle industry, and decrease dependence on crude oil imports.

APA

NewClimate Institute (2024). Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE). http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit

Chicago

NewClimate Institute. Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE). 2024. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE) |date=17 April 2024 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{newclimateinstitute2024modelling, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Modelling alternative transport transition pathways and investment needs in India in the Transport Transition Pathway Explorer (TTPE)}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2024}, month = apr, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/india-in-transit}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }