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The analysis finds that Germany's current climate targets, including the Climate Mitigation Plan 2050, are insufficient to limit temperature rise to 1.5°C, potentially resulting in 20% to 130% more emissions by mid-century than allowed. To be unambiguously compatible with the 1.5°C limit and fulfill its historical responsibility, the document argues Germany must reach zero emissions by 2030. It further notes that failing to meet the original -40% target for 2020 has already consumed 10% of Germany's 1.5°C budget for 2010-2050, necessitating steeper future reductions.

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  • Germany's current climate targets, including the Climate Mitigation Plan 2050's goal of "extensive greenhouse gas neutrality by the middle of the century", are not compatible with a 1.5°C limit. Following the federal government's current path would lead to emissions 20% to 130% higher by mid-century than what is permitted for 1.5°C.
  • To be undeniably compatible with the 1.5°C limit and meet its global responsibilities without relying on negative emissions, Germany must reduce greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2030. In scenarios that are only conditionally compatible, emissions must drop by at least 70% by 2030 and 85% by 2040 relative to 1990 levels.
  • Germany's failure to achieve the -40% emission reduction target originally set for 2020 has negatively impacted its carbon budget, with the resulting excess emissions accounting for 10% of the country's 1.5°C budget between 2010 and 2050.

Cite the original document

APA
NewClimate Institute (2019). 1.5°C: What Germany needs to do. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-what-germany-needs-to-do
Chicago
NewClimate Institute. 1.5°C: What Germany needs to do. 2019. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-what-germany-needs-to-do.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=1.5°C: What Germany needs to do |date=14 March 2019 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-what-germany-needs-to-do |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{newclimateinstitute201915c, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{1.5°C: What Germany needs to do}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2019}, month = mar, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-what-germany-needs-to-do}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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