Paix, conflits et processus de plans nationaux d’adaptation (PNA)

The document argues that climate change and conflict are mutually reinforcing, and that adaptation planning can break this cycle if it is conflict-sensitive. It outlines six enabling factors—leadership, data, finance, institutional arrangements, stakeholder engagement, and capacity building—necessary for successful NAPs in fragile states. The guide provides a detailed framework for integrating conflict analysis into the three main phases of the NAP process: planning, implementation, and monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL).

• Climate change acts as a threat multiplier in fragile states, exacerbating existing tensions and governance difficulties, which in turn increases the risk, duration, and severity of conflicts.
• There is a significant gap in climate finance for fragile states; between 2014 and 2021, climate finance for fragile states averaged $10.80 per person, compared to $161.70 for non-fragile states, with extremely fragile states receiving only $2.10 per person.
• Conflict severely degrades the capacity to produce climate data; for example, the Taliban closed the Afghan Meteorological Authority and burned climate archives in 1996, leaving the country with only four terrestrial climate stations for an area of 163,215 km².
• Conflict-sensitive adaptation follows a continuum from 'conflict blindness' to 'do no harm', then to 'conflict sensitivity' (minimizing tensions), and finally to 'peacebuilding' (proactively addressing root causes of conflict).
• Effective NAPs in fragile contexts require high-level political leadership to align adaptation with national peacebuilding plans and to use the NAP process as a tool for dialogue between opposing political factions.
• The guide recommends integrating conflict analysis into the NAP planning phase by conducting desk reviews and participatory workshops to identify 'dividers' and 'connectors' before selecting adaptation options.
• Adaptation measures can directly support peacebuilding, such as Brazil's use of negotiators for water resource disputes, Togo's conflict mediation training for livestock officials, and Timor-Leste's use of the traditional 'Tara Bandu' system for resource management.
• Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning (MEL) for NAPs in fragile states should utilize a 'Theory of Change' to explicitly link adaptation activities to peace outcomes and track long-term effects on social cohesion.

APA

Crawford, A., Hammill, A., & Tadgell, A. (2023). Paix, conflits et processus de plans nationaux d’adaptation (PNA). NAP Global Network. https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/napgn-fr-2024-peace-conflict-nap.pdf

Chicago

Crawford, Alec, Anne Hammill, and Anne Tadgell. Paix, conflits et processus de plans nationaux d’adaptation (PNA). NAP Global Network, 2023. https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/napgn-fr-2024-peace-conflict-nap.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Crawford |first1=Alec |last2=Hammill |first2=Anne |last3=Tadgell |first3=Anne |title=Paix, conflits et processus de plans nationaux d’adaptation (PNA) |publisher=NAP Global Network |date=2023 |url=https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/napgn-fr-2024-peace-conflict-nap.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{crawford2023paix, author = {Crawford, Alec and Hammill, Anne and Tadgell, Anne}, title = {{Paix, conflits et processus de plans nationaux d’adaptation (PNA)}}, institution = {NAP Global Network}, year = {2023}, url = {https://napglobalnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/napgn-fr-2024-peace-conflict-nap.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }