Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 46
Summary
This briefing from the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) reports on a suspected coup attempt in Sudan in November 2012, detailing the arrests of high-ranking officials and analyzing the internal political and economic pressures facing President Omar al-Bashir's government.
Key insights
- On 22 November 2012, the Sudanese government arrested 14 individuals, including high-ranking military and security officers, for an alleged 'subversive attempt' to overthrow the government. The National Intelligence and Security Service (NISS) claimed to have foiled the attempt 'at the zero hour'.
- Prominent figures among the arrested include Major-General Salah Abdullah Mohammed ('Salah Gosh'), former head of the NISS (2002–2009), and Brigadier-General Mohamed Ibrahim Abdel-Galil ('Wad Ibrahim'), who led President Omar al-Bashir's presidential security for seven years.
- The document identifies several internal drivers for the attempted coup: a severe economic crisis characterized by the Sudanese pound falling to record lows and oil flow delays from South Sudan; military friction regarding the performance of the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and Popular Defence Forces (PDF); and tribal and political rivalries between the Shayqiyya and Jaali tribes.
- Some observers question the authenticity of the coup attempt, suggesting it may have been fabricated for propaganda purposes to distract the public from deteriorating economic conditions.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Institute for Security Studies (2012). Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 46. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/30Nov2012.pdf
- Chicago
- Institute for Security Studies. Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 46. 2012. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/30Nov2012.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Institute for Security Studies |title=Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 46 |date=30 November 2012 |url=https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/30Nov2012.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{instituteforsecuritystudies2012conflict, author = {{Institute for Security Studies}}, title = {{Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 46}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2012}, month = nov, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/30Nov2012.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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