Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 20
Summary
This briefing from the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) reports on the recommendation by a Board of Inquiry that South African National Police Commissioner Bheki Cele be removed from office following a maladministration probe into a police headquarters lease deal. It further discusses the security governance issues under President Jacob Zuma, specifically the appointment of loyalists over experts in the South African Police Service (SAPS) and the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA), and the controversy surrounding the suspension of Richard Mdluli.
Key insights
- A Board of Inquiry has recommended the removal of South African National Police Commissioner Bheki Cele from his post. This follows a Public Protector investigation which found that Cele and former Minister of Public Works Gwen Mahlangu-Nkabinde were guilty of maladministration and acted unlawfully regarding a police headquarter lease deal valued at R1.67 billion, which benefited businessman Roux Shabangu.
- South Africa's ranking on the Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index declined from 54th in 2010 to 64th in 2011 out of 182 countries. The document attributes the rise in commercial crimes to a perceived lack of sanctions for corruption among the politically connected.
- The briefing identifies a systemic problem in the security governance of the current administration, asserting that senior appointments in the South African Police Service (SAPS) and the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA) are based on personal loyalty to President Jacob Zuma and his inner circle rather than expertise, skill, or integrity.
- Acting National Police Commissioner Nhlanhla Mkwanazi re-suspended Richard Mdluli—who faces allegations of murder and corruption—after the NGO Freedom Under Law (FUL) took legal action. This decision followed alleged political interference from Police Minister Nathi Mthethwa, who had ordered Mdluli's reinstatement and the cessation of investigations.
- The African Conflict Prevention Programme (ACPP) has been renamed the Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) division of the ISS to reflect the addition of a risk analysis component to its work.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Zounmenou, D., Atta-Assamoah, A., Motsamai, D., Dzinesa, G. A., Joala, R., Kok, N., & Warries, T. (2012). Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 20. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/29May2012.pdf
- Chicago
- Zounmenou, David, Andrew Atta-Assamoah, Dimpho Motsamai, Gwinyayi A. Dzinesa, Refiloe Joala, Naomi Kok, and Tarryn Warries. Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 20. Institute for Security Studies, 2012. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/29May2012.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Zounmenou |first1=David |last2=Atta-Assamoah |first2=Andrew |last3=Motsamai |first3=Dimpho |last4=Dzinesa |first4=Gwinyayi A. |last5=Joala |first5=Refiloe |last6=Kok |first6=Naomi |last7=Warries |first7=Tarryn |title=Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 20 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=29 May 2012 |url=https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/29May2012.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{zounmenou2012conflict, author = {Zounmenou, David and Atta-Assamoah, Andrew and Motsamai, Dimpho and Dzinesa, Gwinyayi A. and Joala, Refiloe and Kok, Naomi and Warries, Tarryn}, title = {{Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) – Pretoria CPRA Daily Briefings Week 20}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2012}, month = may, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/29May2012.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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