Microsoft Word - CPRA PDF template1.doc

This briefing from the Conflict Prevention and Risk Analysis (CPRA) unit in Pretoria, dated 13 September 2012, details internal divisions within the African National Congress (ANC) as the party prepares for its electoral conference in Mangaung in December.

• The African National Congress (ANC) is split into two primary factions ahead of the December electoral conference in Mangaung: the 'national coalition' and the 'pro-change coalition'. The 'pro-change coalition' seeks the removal of President Jacob Zuma, citing a lack of will to fight corruption, the Department of Education's failure to deliver textbooks, and the police killing of mineworkers at Marikana.
• The 'pro-change coalition' has reached an agreement to support Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe for the ANC presidency and Tokyo Sexwale for the deputy presidency. This agreement prevents a split in the coalition that would have benefited President Zuma. While Motlanthe has not yet formally announced his candidacy, he has not distanced himself from those lobbying for him.
• The 'national coalition' (pro-Zuma faction) focuses its campaign on maintaining organisational unity to avoid the destabilisation seen during the 2007 battle between President Zuma and former President Thabo Mbeki in Polokwane. However, this faction is concerned by reports of fractures in KwaZulu-Natal, which is President Zuma's primary support base and the province with the most voting delegates.
• Reports from the Sunday Tribune suggest that state tenders worth hundreds of millions of dollars are being used as tools for electoral intimidation and incentive to maintain support for President Zuma. It is alleged that members were warned they would lose access to these tenders if they voted against Zuma, and that official John Block was told corruption charges against him would be dropped if he supported the President.
• Expelled ANC Youth League leader Julius Malema is attempting to provoke President Zuma by calling for a mining revolution and nationalisation following the Marikana tragedy. Malema has addressed striking Lonmin workers and expressed intent to meet with disgruntled South African National Defence Force soldiers, specifically those suspended after 2009 protests at the Union Buildings.

APA

Institute for Security Studies (n.d.). Microsoft Word - CPRA PDF template1.doc. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/13Sep2012.pdf

Chicago

Institute for Security Studies. Microsoft Word - CPRA PDF template1.doc. n.d. https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/13Sep2012.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Institute for Security Studies |title=Microsoft Word - CPRA PDF template1.doc |url=https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/13Sep2012.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{instituteforsecuritystudiesndmicrosoft, author = {{Institute for Security Studies}}, title = {{Microsoft Word - CPRA PDF template1.doc}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, url = {https://issafrica.s3.amazonaws.com/site/uploads/13Sep2012.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }