Angola: At the Precipice

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies provides updated scenarios regarding the deteriorating security situation in Angola, focusing on the failure of the Lusaka Peace Accords and the economic instability caused by falling oil prices.

• The death of UN Special Envoy Alioune Blondin Beye on 27 June in Côte d'Ivoire ended five years of efforts to maintain the Lusaka Peace Accords, though the document notes that events beyond his control were already pushing Angola toward catastrophe. UNITA leader Dr Savimbi indicated that UNITA would not meet the UN deadline to transfer control of the Central Highlands to Luanda authorities, despite potential UN sanctions.
• Angola's economy is severely impacted by falling global oil prices, which are expected to remain low unless a major conflict occurs in the Middle East. While deep-water oil discoveries are being made, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has expressed concern over a growing balance of payments deficit, a massively overvalued kwanza, and a lack of transparency regarding oil revenues, noting that only half of the state's oil income is reflected in the national budget despite a production level of approximately 750,000 barrels per day.

APA

Potgieter, J., & Cornwell, R. (n.d.). Angola: At the Precipice. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.org/research/papers/angola-at-the-precipice

Chicago

Potgieter, Jakkie, and Richard Cornwell. Angola: At the Precipice. Institute for Security Studies, n.d. https://issafrica.org/research/papers/angola-at-the-precipice.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Potgieter |first1=Jakkie |last2=Cornwell |first2=Richard |title=Angola: At the Precipice |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |url=https://issafrica.org/research/papers/angola-at-the-precipice |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{potgieterndangola, author = {Potgieter, Jakkie and Cornwell, Richard}, title = {{Angola: At the Precipice}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, url = {https://issafrica.org/research/papers/angola-at-the-precipice}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }